iklan

Sunday, December 21

weekly update




as of this week sekiranya tiada bad news yang datang maka klse dalam mode nak menaik. dalam minggu ini kenaikan klse telah meningkat 24 mata kepada 874, not bad la tu bagi kegiatan dressing hujung tahun bukan apa ia bersedia bagi menyambut kedatangan duit dari pelabur asb yang dapat 7 persen dividen dan lain lain penyimpan yang akan dapat interest tahunannya dari simpanan mereka.Kedatangan hari raya cina pada bulan jan juga akan diberi alasan kepada rally yang alan datang ini. Tidak kah carta ini meramalkan aktiviti yang akan berlaku.

Dalam ramalan wavelet mode ia juga melakarkan upward movement. sila lihat rajah.
Ramalan ini adalah berasaskan kepada kebanyakan saham saham lain adalah dalam mode yang mula membuat pantulan teknikal kerana semua kounter tersebut dah terlalu terlebih jual oversold. Maka berikan sedikit nafas kepada klse untuk bernafas semula.
Sekiranya dilihat dalam carta klse maka mode 123 dah mula nak menjadi itu sekiranya trafik light memberikan kata izin.Indikator "Ram" dan lain juga menunjuk kepada kenaikan pada leg up ini.Leg up ini akan terjadi kerana semua kounter kounter lain dah mula menunjukan paten yang sama aje.
Alangkah baik nya penulis blog ini nujum pak belalang, kan dapat membantu pelabur kecil untuk meraut sedikit keuntungan.

Terima kaseh kerana membaca

Sunday, December 14

weekly prediction


as of the this week the shorterm seems nak menaik but dalam masa jangka sederhana ia nampaknya ingin jua nak menaik. Internal dah mula nak hook up dan trenline dah mula nak break out to the upside. Kita lihat dan tengok minggu ni punya aksi sekiranya petanda kita agree maka boleh kita bersedia, tapi kita menaiklah semasa train dah mula nak bergerak nanti taada momentum lambat pula nak menanti sampai kehujung.
Terima kasih lah kerana membaca tapi jangan percaya 100% , kalo saya nujum pak belalng selalu bernasib baik kan baik dapat jua membantu pembaca semua jadi jutawan

Monday, November 3

Friday, October 31

who will win? obama




Thank you Fort Wealth Trading Co

Wednesday, October 29

klci in the news- monday edition

Klci Review:

o The KL Composite sliding to closed to its lowest point in 4 years by falling 26pt to 832 or 3% from 859 last Friday with intraday low 805.Regional market also plunged on concern of severe global economic recession ahead.

o Market breadth was negative with 677 declined outpacing 110 advance rs.

o Volume increased to 899m shares worth RM1.76b from Wednesday’ shares 613m worth RM1.06b.

Malaysian Top News:
Corporate News


IOI Shares Plunge On Forex Loss Talk
IOI Corp's share price plunged on panic selling yesterday, on talk that a senior finance executive has resigned to take responsibility for foreign exchange losses incurred by the company. The stock fell 57 sen or 19 per cent to close at RM2.45. The sell-off of about 121 million shares wiped off almost RM3.5 billion of IOI Corp's market capitalization. In its filing to the stock exchange yesterday, IOI Corp said making losses or gains on forward currency contracts is a normal course of events for the company's downstream businesses and they does not speculate on foreign currency moves. (Source: BT)

Kulim Expects Cert For Palm Oil Ops By Year-End
KULIM Malaysia Bhd says it is on track to receive the coveted Roundtable on Sustainable Palm Oil (RSPO)
certification by year-end. Managing director Ahamad Mohamad said the certification, which will cover the entire
plantation operations of Kulim as well as New Britain Palm Oil Ltd (NBPOL), is important as it brings worldwide
recognition and potentially confers a sustainability premium on its palm products. Thus far, RSPO certification
has been awarded to specific estates of plantation companies, not their entire operations. (Source: BT)

Digi Remains Upbeat Despite Hard Times
DiGi.Com Bhd, the country’s third largest mobile operator, is optimistic of remaining competitive despite the
current tough market conditions. DiGi chief executive officer Johan Dennelind said aside from investing in
marketing campaigns, the company would strive to offer the best services to its customers. “Our philosophy is
to invest in our brand and grow our customer base,” while adding that he was “cautiously optimistic” about the
company’s growth potential. DiGi recorded a marginal drop in net profit to RM269.94mil for its third quarter
ended Sept 30 against RM273.28mil in the previous year’s corresponding period. Revenue, however, rose to
RM1.22bil from RM1.11bil while earnings per share (EPS) dipped to 34.7 sen from 36.4 sen. (Source: The Star)

Cepatwawasan Sees ROI Of 15% From Bio-Energy Projects
Cepatwawasan Group Bhd expects return on investment (ROI) of about 15% on average for its two bio-energy projects costing RM80mil that would use palm waste to generate electricity. Executive chairman Datuk Mah King Thian said he expected the 3MW biogas plant and 10MW biomass fired plant, which would be built in Sandakan, to contribute about RM20mil annually to group revenue by 2011. Construction on the plants would be tendered out and work was expected to start by mid-2009 and commissioned by 2010. Financing would be from the
company’s own funds and project financing. (Source: The Star)

Friday, October 24

klci in the news

o The KL Composite closed at its lowest point since 2006 by closing >30 points or 3% to 859 points for the second consecutive days but of its intra-day low of 853 as it reacted to the negative sentiment on the Wall Street. Investors will look forward to the BNM decision on OPR and the release of the inflation figures for September.
o KLCI laggards were COMMERZ to RM6.80), MISC (-20 sen to RM8.20) and MAYBANK (-15 sen to rM5.15)
o KLCI leaders were PUBLICBANK (+5sen to RM8.75), BJTOTO (+8 sen to RM4.40) and YTL (+5 sen to RM5.85).

o Market breadth was negative with 477 declined outpacing 161 advancers.

o Volume increased to 613m shares worth RM1.06b from Wednesday’ shares 512m worth RM1.08b.

IN THE NEWS
SC Probes KNM's Abnormal Intra-Day Trading
HE Securities Commission (SC) has initiated a probe into the abnormal intra-day trading activities of KNM Group Bhd shares. "We are examining the announcements made by the company (KNM) on Bursa Malaysia. If there are any indications of wrongdoing or breaches of securities laws, then appropriate regulatory action will be taken," said SC spokesperson. The company was queried on October 15, following a sharp decrease in price and high volume of its shares. In its reply then, KNM said it was unaware of the cause for the unusual market activity.(Source: BT)

Mahathir: The Worst Is Not Over Yet
TUN Dr Mahathir Mohamad, the leader who steered Malaysia through the 1997-98 Asian financial crisis, said the current global turmoil is far from ending and will soon spread to the region's export-dependent economies. "The worst is not over yet. We do not even understand what is happening," Mahathir, who stepped down as prime minister in 2003, said in a Bloomberg Television interview yesterday in Putrajaya, outside Kuala Lumpur. "Asian countries are going to feel the pinch of a world where the market has collapsed." He reiterated his belief that governments worldwide should consider a new international monetary system that doesn't depend on any single currency.(Source: BT)

PNB: Time To Pick Good Stocks.
THERE are plenty of opportunities to selectively pick good stocks amid the current weak market, said the chief of Malaysia's largest fund manager, Permodalan Nasional Bhd (PNB). "There is a lot of opportunities because our (economic) fundamentals are still strong. We are not in a financial crisis and if you were to look at our companies, their (financial) results are not that bad," said PNB president and chief executive officer Tan Sri Hamad Kama Piah Che Othman. He said, however, that Malaysia would not be completely immune to a global slowdown. (Source: BT)

Palm oil slumps to 28-month low
MALAYSIAN crude palm oil futures fell for a third day to the lowest in 28 months as crude oil slumped,
reducing prospects for biofuel demand. Palm oil, used mainly in food, tracks crude oil as analysts consider it
viable for use as a biofuel when oil rises above US$80 a barrel. Crude pared gains in New York amid concerns
that global demand for fuels will slow as the US and European economies may slip into a recession. CPO for
January delivery fell as much as 5.8 per cent to RM1,475 a ton on the Malaysia Derivatives Exchange, the
lowest since June 2006. Prices have more than halved this year as demand lags behind supply. (Source: BT)

Petronas Carigali Awards RM2.8b Jobs
PETRONAS Carigali Sdn Bhd, the exploration and production arm of Petroliam Nasional Bhd (Petronas), has awarded 15 fabrication contracts worth a combined RM2.8 billion to five local companies. The largest portion, totalling RM1.17 billion, went to Malaysia Marine and Heavy Engineering Sdn Bhd (MMHE), followed by contracts worth RM1.12 billion to Sime Darby Engineering Sdn Bhd and RM288 million to Kencana HL Sdn Bhd. The remaining contracts worth RM140 million and RM102 million were awarded to Ramunia Fabricators Sdn Bhd and Oilfab Sdn Bhd respectively. (Source: BT)

PLUS Submits Proposals For India Highway Jobs
TOLL road operator PLUS Expressways Bhd said it has submitted proposals for toll concessions and highway
construction jobs in India. PLUS managing director Noorizah Abdul Hamid said the proposals were submitted
in response to requests from the National Highway Authority of India. She said if the proposals qualify, PLUS
will then submit bids for the contracts. The National Highway Authority of India is expected to call for a tender
early next year and name the successful bidders in the first quarter of 2009. PLUS' maiden highway project
into India early this year was for upgrading the existing road of about 21.6km into a four-lane toll-road in
Mumbai. (Source: BT)

Association Of Banks: No Credit Crunch In Malaysia
The Association of Banks in Malaysia (ABM) says there is no credit crunch in the country and that the banking sector remains strong and well capitalised despite the turmoil in the global financial markets. In a statement yesterday, ABM chairman Datuk Seri Abdul Hamidy Abdul Hafiz said: “It is business as usual and commercial banks are not putting any brakes on lending.” According to the ABM, unlike the liquidity crunch that was seizing some of the key developed markets such as the US, Britain and Europe, Malaysia had been relatively unaffected and liquidity level in the banking system was healthy. “As at end-August, loan-to-deposit ratio stood at 74.5% compared with the high 90% seen in 1997. (Source: The Star)

Bursa Will Continue To Launch New Products
Bursa Malaysia Bhd will still carry out its plans to introduce new products and services despite a looming global recession, the stock exchange operator said yesterday. “Bursa Malaysia is excited about the plans we have in store to further grow its competitiveness through the introduction of attractive products, improvement of market access, and enhancement of infrastructures,” said chief executive officer Datuk Yusli Mohd Yusoff. For example, Bursa would introduce the Bursa Trade (BT) by year-end. (Source: The Star)

Ho Hup: Low Fails To Get Re-Elected
Former managing director Datuk Low Tuck Choy failed yesterday to get re-elected as a director of Ho Hup
Construction Co Bhd, ending a 24-year relationship with the company’s board. “I have served the company for
24 years, 14 of which were as managing director,” he told reporters after the company AGM yesterday. Low
had been suspended as managing director of Ho Hup in late August for allegedly breaching his duties.
(Source: The Star)

Wednesday, October 22

who won the minus sum game

Yes who won the game

Is it the internet provider that you subscribe to see your qoute?
Is it the computer salesman that sold you the duo core computer from?
Is it the publisher that sold you hundreds of the trading books from?
Is it the software people that you bought the black box from?
Is it the data provider that you rely the chart to?
Is it the newsletter that you subscribe to for your decision?
Or is it the remisier that you bought the stocks from?(remember they got 2x commission)
or is the doctor that you seek when you fall sick as result of too much stress due to falling stock?

Only you can answer this and as for me I knew it before I went for trade?

masa membeli belum tiba

dalam dunia dan masayrakat pembeli maka terdapat dua jenis kehambaan iaitu
hamba membeli kerana ketagihan
dan hamba membeli kerana kecemburuan lagi berhasad dengki

bebaskan diri ini dari belengu perhambaan
membeli pada yang perlu lagi membawa keberkatan
namun bebas dari menunjuk nunjuk dan berbangga diri

Wednesday, October 15

fundamental thing

When it comes to predicting the market,
the important skill is not listening, but snoring.
The trick is not to learn to trust your gut feelings, but rather to discipline yourself to ignore them.
Stand by your stocks as long as the fundamental story of the company has not changed

-- Peter Lynch

ucapan selamat hari raya kepada pecinta pose 6


Get Hari Raya Graphics Here

Sunday, October 12

meneka atau mengagak

"abang betul la abang" .. adek mengaku kalah dalam pertaruhan ini sepatutnya klci jatuh pada 1050 tapi kini ianya tetap jatuh lagi tanpa henti nampaknya ..dan kini klci kat 934? ... adek berkata sambil mengeluh.
Abang dengan terketar ketar menjawap " adek tahu tak dek, abang sebenarnya takut akan ramalan abang tu?
"apa yang nak ditakutkan bang?"..... adek cuba memmujuk.
abang kini dalam deliema juga ni... kalo ci jatuh kat 850 nanti, emosi abang sure akan jadi tak stabil dan takut menyelinap dalam hati abang dan nafsu abang tiba menggoda supaya jangan beli, jangan beli... nanti awak kalah kerana ci akan jatuh lagi?
Tapi abang dah nak betul dah dalam ramalan abang dan abang dah nak menang .. adek memujuk lagi
Apa la guna erti menang dek sekiranya kita tak boleh buat duit dan akaun bank kita tak meningkat.. abang menjawab
Apa kita nak buat ye bang? adek memaksa abangnya supaya menjawab
lalu abang nya menjawap............kita tunggu minggu depan ok.. bye
(bagero punya abang)

us rm weekly update

Dear readers
If any of my dear readers want to know with regards to my weekly commentary us/ rm weekly update please shouted me in my box leaving me your contact address or any other form of communication .
I am gladly to help if my help is of any use to you.

Your privacy is my utmost concern and will not misuse your trust as I know making money and be well inform is the key to investment success

Thursday, October 9

Lu fikir la sendiri

1. Wang bukan segalanya tapi kini ada Mastercard dan Visacard

2.Kita mesti menyayangi haiwan kerana rasa nya amat lazat lagi berkhasiat.

3.Jimat la air dengan mandi bersama kekaseh anda.

4.Cintailah tetangga tetapi jangan sampai tertangkap basah

5. Cinta itu Photogenic. Dia memerlukan tempat gelap untuk berkembang

6.Kejar la mimpi mu oleh itu pergilah tidur sekarang juga

terima kaseh kepada budaks

Monday, October 6

strategies

OUR STRATEGY

Our strategy is to wait until the smoke clears, so we can see where the world economy and its sectors are positioned before taking any action. There were those who made substantial money during the bad time. They did so by:
1) waiting for rallies and buying with a trading mind set,
2) waiting for big price declines and buying for the very long term.
3) selling short with a trading mentality.

Those investors who held cash and invested periodically after big price declines could have easily done much better than those who bought and held.

choose your pick and plan your strategy

Friday, September 26

da masuk ke belum?

walaupaun adek dengan bangganya dapat meramal klci akan pegi 1050 pada masa ramalan atau meneka itu dibuat ianya dalam paras 1300. namun selepas ia mencececah ke paras tersebut 1050 adek terperanjat gila pada keesokan harinya klci menjunam keparas 960 . kini adek bingung lagi samada ia boleh masuk lagi ke tidak? dengan outlook yang tak berapa menarik seperti geopolitik dan subprime masasalah yang tak nampak kesudahan penghujung nya selesai maka kini adek dalam kebingungan lagi?

apa jadi sekiranya cakap abang betul ia jatuh ke 850 ? rugi dan malu lagi adek beli saham kat harga tinggi tapi kalo dia dah bottom kat 960 maka menyesal lak nanti? hai betul lah pening kepala?
kalo abang boleh menasihat adalah lebih baik kita beli bila momentum dah set in tak payah nak risau market bottom hanya sekadar we ride in the trend kan senang?

ps malam ini lailatul qadar ke ?

lu fikir la sendiri

"History repeats itself in the stock market. Many price patterns and price consolidation structures that stocks form are repeated over and over again."
- William J. O'Neil

"The key to trading success is emotional discipline. If intelligence were the key, there would be a lot more people making money trading."
- Victor Sperandeo

"If a stock doesn't act right don't touch it; because being unable to tell precisely what is wrong you cannot tell which way it is going. No diagnosis, no prognosis. No prognosis, no profit."
- Edwin Lefevre

ucapan selamat hari tak beraya

maka hari raya datang lagi , apa nak ditunggu ia tetap akan datang... kadang kadang ia datang 2 kali dalam setahun .kesian tengok orang melayu termasuk saya berpuasa... namun kerap dan saban tahun berpuasa tapi tak ada datang keseluruh kebaikan kepada kita kecuali lapar dan dahaga .apa tidaknya ahlak memalukan rasuah amat kuat , kuat penipu dan ego tinggi melangit dan tidak kah puasa itu mentarbiah seluruh umat islam agar dapat menzahirkan ahlak yang baik iaitu sabar tawaduk dan berperketi mulia tapi semua tak ada dan kalo ada pada mereka itu pun segelintir . alangkah baik saya mempunyai luhur budi pekerti.
setengah orang yang kini ada kuasa kalo ada beri hadiah maka semua permintaaan boleh kalo tada beri hadiah ( hadiah ta apa itu jawapan penyejuk hati) maka dengan sombong lagi riak menindas orang rendah.orang atasan semua bole tapi orang bawahan mesti ikut undang undang. maka semua undang undang tu sebenarnya untuk orang bawahan dan sekiranya keaadaan ini berterusan maka tidak ragu dimalaysia ini jadi macam india atau indonesia yang kaya melangit wangnya tapi yang miskin merana lagi berlambak dan bersepah tanpa mendapat pembelaan.
kepada t/peng pj aku sumpahkan kau dan celalak kau hendaknya terlalu berlagak mentang mentang ada kuasa dan pada kau ta ada ucapan maaf dari aku sampai kiamat

definasi hadiah dan rasuah sama aje iaitu maksudnya kalo kau tak duduk kat kerusi tu orang nak beri ke kau hadiah.

Tuesday, September 9

weekly rm/usd update


The ringgit had kaput. The FM loves to see that as CI also kaput .They will wait and wait till they can buy at lower CI with Lower ringgit. With lower value of ringgit they can load up a lot of malaysian shares .To those muslim who had went to haj or umrah they are not happy as the rial arab saudi also appreciating in value .I can still recalled I could excange more than 120 but now its only 90 or may be less. the best way to do now IMO (or 5 sen opinion since 1 sen no more) is to wait and analyse what the big gun are doing

Or the next thing to do this ramadan time is to pray a lot so that God is kind to us and heavily showers us with ringgit when the next bull arrives

Until then pray terawikh 20 raakat not 8 raakaat and keep your fasting quality upgraded

Monday, September 8

lu fikir la sendiri

When your hut's on fire…
The only survivor of a shipwreck was washed up on a small, uninhabited island. He prayed feverishly for someone to rescue him. Every day he scanned the horizon for help, but none seemed forthcoming. Exhausted, he eventually managed to build a little hut out of driftwood to protect him from the elements, and to store his few possessions. One day, after scavenging for food, he arrived home to find his little hut in flames, with smoke rolling up to the sky. He felt the worst had happened, and everything was lost. He was stunned with disbelief, grief, and anger. He cried out, 'How could this happen to me?'
Early the next day, he was awakened by the sound of a ship approaching the island! It had come to rescue him! 'How did you know I was here?' asked the weary man of his rescuers.
'We saw your smoke signal,' they replied.
The Moral of This Story:
It's easy to get discouraged when things are going bad, but we shouldn't lose heart even in the midst of our pain and suffering. Remember that the next time your little hut seems to be burning to the ground, it just may be a smoke signal that precedes your rescue.

Thursday, August 21

lge Vs ksk

lagi sekali debat telah dibuat antara dua tokoh cina terkenal di Tv...
aku tak menyelebahi mana mana pehak ....aku sekadar menyatakan pandangan aku walaupun sekiranya ada pembaca yang tak setuju maka ini adalah pandangan peribadi.
Sekiranya dulu ...debat antara AI dan SS maka debat itu meyakinkan pendengar menyebelahi fakta AI . AI berjaya menyampaikan hujah dan fakta dengan betul dan ini telah menambat hati pendengar untuk menyebelahi AI
Tapi debat kali ni KSK lebih menyampaikan fakta yang bernas dan berasas walaupun ianya ditembak tanpa semak oleh LGE
Sekiranaya diteliti dari sifat dan peribadi LGE lebih bersifat menyalahkan dan sifat tidak menerima fakta kerana beliau telah ada mindset segala yang lain tak betul termasuk bpr dan polis... ini adalah kerana bpr dan polis tak CAT....itu anggapan beliau.
fakta LGE berikan adalah sama diulang ulang dan egonya amat tinggi sekira dibanding dengan KSK maka KSK lebih merendah diri lagi lagi tawaduk

Kesian KSK walaupun beliau adalah seorang insan yang kuat bekerja tetapi kerana tekanan atasan beliau teperangkap antara dua delima.
Kini orang cina pun dah pandai quote isi quran dan sekiranya orang islam tidak mahu menerima ajaran agama maka banyak lah orang politik akan masuk neraka?
Apa tidaknya pemberi dan penerima rasuah maka kedua dua nya masuk neraka.... itu maksud hadis?
Tapi kata mereka ...ta apa ..ini darurat... tuhan maha pengaseh minta ampun dan bersumpah dengan nama allah maka hilanglah segala dosa
ampun dan maaf dari tuhan boleh .....tetapi ada kifarah dan hukumannya dulu baru boleh selesai dosa..
sori sekiranya tulisan kali menyakitkan hati pembaca tapi aku telah diajar oleh MR market to be honest dan jujur lagi iklas

Tuesday, August 12

renungan

“Bull markets are born on pessimism,
grow on skepticism,
mature on optimism,
and die on euphoria.”
Sir John Templeton

Tuesday, July 29

taking private

terlepas lagi kita bang ....adek nada kecewa bercakap
dulu maxis dan 3 -4 bulan lg RU akan keluar dari bskl sambung adek menyambungkan perbualannya
kalo la kita tahu awal sebelum the mass tahu kan bagus bang? {harapan mengundang kekecewaan}

cuba adek teka kenape mereka nak kuar dari bskl abang bertanya...
ialah empunya syarikat kecewa kerana harga saham mereka tak menaik macam lain lain saham yang tersenarai ..adek cuba meneka ,
selain itu mungkin mereka dah ada tawaran yang paling untung kalo tersenarai dibskl tada untung wat ape jawab adek.wat susah aje nak hantar laporan ni dan itu ...tu belom lagi masa mesyuarat?
tersenarai dibskl kan elok dapat modal tanpa kos? itu pun kalo empunya nye bertanggang jawab pada pemegang saham kini adek lebih maju lagi dalam penganalisaan bskl .. abng dah lama tak gi kursus otak dah karat asek nengok harga saham tak abis abis wat analisa teknikal yang tak menjadi

lagi pun bang sekiranya adek ada satu syarikat yang boleh buat untung baik punya wat ape nak bagi orang lain share.. baik adek makan seorang bersama rakan terdekat. sama juga kalo adek jumpe minyak ke emas wat ape adek nak share dengan orang.. tu la pasal mereka belah lalu adek keluar dari perbualan mereka tanpa memberi ape ape sebab

Thursday, July 17

the guru just taught

Simply stated, no formation is a formation until it forms. Do not predict, but instead focus on interpreting....JES

Wednesday, July 16

debat perdana

kali pertama dapat tengok debat
tak la hebat mana ....macam obama lawan hillary clinton
tapi ok la setanding juga la macam debat budak sekolah nak rebut piala perdana menteri
asalkan debat kira ok la
lawan tetap lawan
macam tu la .. kita kan negara bertamadun dan kita kan nak jadi negara maju by 2020
fikiran mesti terbuka
tapi sayang taada siapa yang dapat hadiah
kalo ada hakim kan baik ?

kalo tak ada hakim mari kita panggil adek menjadi hakim debat malam tadi
adek mari kejab ,,, abang panggil adeknya...malam tadi punya debat adek ingat siape yang menang

adek tengok online la bang jawab adek megah
jadi adek dapat hayati siapa yang lebih terer
dan siapa yang memberi hujah dan fakta yang betul
berikut adalah pendapat adek:

dari aspek penyampaian AI
dari aspek menjaga emosi AI
dari aspek menjawab soalan dengan fakta AI
dari rumusan hujah AI
dari keperihatian kepada topik AI

Knape adek ni berat sebelah betul...
kan SC tu menteri penerangan dia kan lebih tahu abang mencelah
Adek kesian la sebenarnya bang dengan SC
kenape ... abang menyoal

airliur dia asik terkeluar aje
teringat adek masa kekecik dulu
macam dia perli adek aje... adek menamatkan perbualan lalu beredar meninggalkan abang yang terpingapinga ape yang adek nya beritahu

Tuesday, July 15

klci weekly update


abang .....adek nak cakap ni

(kali ni adek dah mula menunjukan minat yang mendalam
kenape tidak sabtu lepas adeknye baru lepas pergi seminar free dan
dapat makan free lagi lepas tu.)

adek ingat klci minggu ni naik la bang..adek dengan confident bercakap
ape pandangan abang ?
kali ni abang hanya buat degh aje

"cube abang ingat dah seminngu ci jatuh takan nak jatuh lagi...
lagi pun miggu ni ada banyak berita baik untuk melonjakan market
tak la macam minggu dulu ....macam2 berite buruk ada.
minggu ni dia orang kontrol la sikit bad news nanti kesian kat bursa tak ada trding" .....adek menerangkan satu persatu dan abang nya melopong mendengar

"nak naik brape dek kalo dia nak naik" ... abang menyoal
mungkin paras fibo at 1190 and resistence at 1180 .mungkin dia rebound kat situ la.itu pun kalo 1130 dapat ditahankan ... adek menjawab.kalo tidak 1130 bocor maka the easy pathway is down adek menjawab matsalleh maklum baru balek seminar

"adek nak masuk ke" ...abang menyoal
tak la adek tunggu dulu at 1050... adek jawab selambe

"ok la macam tu abang tunngu juga la pada 850"

komen .............tah jadi tak tidak hanya tuhan saja maha mengetahui

Thursday, July 10

tercela" ........"ka

hai
memang bagero betul
sejak mac2008 macam macam betul
pekelling ..syarat.. undang2 dikeluarkan

pasang tali penggang kat kerete la
kredit kad nak dihapuskan 20 hari cooling period
minyak jangan cakap la 40% naik
bil letrik naik 18% bulan ni
nasib baik la penduduk selangor dapat air free 20c/m

bagi 625 tapi amek balik ribu ribu
nasib baik la abang hidup r/tax june ni
adek hidup r/t bulan jan/feb /mac melopong la dia
apa la bulan tersebut kena diskriminasi
apa salah mereka
mereka pun nak beli minyak juga sepanjang taun

adek : macam mana nak jadi kaya .. bang
abang: aaaaagh....jangan dan jangan berikan duit adek pada orang dengan sia sia

Wednesday, July 9

zero bugger or 10 bagger


aaadek ? abang dengan bengis menjerit
adek nak tengok tak saham yang elok kita beli?
saham apa tu bang? bentak adek yang kini beria ia mendengar
adek teka la? sahut abang lagi.

abang dengan act nya menerangkan kepada adek nya
paten dia macam belanga tapi cantek la sikit bukan macam periok mama pakai tu
kalo tepatnya bentuk "saucer" macam pan mama buat lemping tu

kalo ikut rentaknya TA dek.. saham ni bole jadi 10 bagger...... jawab abang.
kalo nasib tak baik jadi zero bugger la bang ........adek mencelah

bertuah punya adek tak caya tengok la nanti ....kata abang dengan kecewa
nanti abang pakai ferrari merah tu padan muka adek
adek nak tau tak saham tu.. pujuk abang
tak ya la bang

Tuesday, July 8

tekaan paling bodoh

ari ni , dek mari kita meneka?
teka ape bang?

kita cuba meneka mana klci akan pergi?
siapa betul kena bagi sebiji ferrari?
bukan ferrari memain tapi yang betul punya
jadik.. janji bang
ok ......kata adek

dalam hati kedua beradek berkata
apa susah
semua pakar analisa dah beri andaiaan klci nak pergi mana
klci akan jatuh
tapi ke angka berapa hanya the genious man yang tahu..

Tolong ya jangan libatkan tuhan
kerana Tuhan tak main saham
apa lagi saham yang ada genting resort
nanti orang marah
Tuhan lebih lagi....

abang cakap
kita bersedia klci nak gi ke 850
pada kat level tu kita bersedia
kita kumpul bebanyak
macam kita buat dedulu

kalo tak jadi?
kita bebeli bile momentum dah set in
kita bebeli pada beberapa phasa

Adek berkata "dulu abang cakap 1050"
tu dulu dek tapi abang kata kini 850

ok la adek
macam tu adek teka 1050?

adek menarik lafas lega kerana ada angka yang hendak diteka?

Thursday, July 3

klse ..... loceng berbunyi skali lagi

waduh waduh
bskl....... adooi
dulu skali dah bikin masaalah
ya maseh ingat hari kramat 100308
pergantungan tak bertali
bn kalah merudum
bskl ikut skali...loceng berbunyi

dan kini 030708 .. ia bunyi sekali lagi
atas alasan kali ni
hardware .......(hanya yus yang lebih tau)
tapi tidak kah infrastruktur IT bursa itu betaraf dunia
namun sedih ......mentality kita kelas ketiga
kami yang bodoh ni dan lagi tak berduit
kami ada spare komputer

mustahil ..........alasan datok tak leh diterima
namun mereka benar dan betul
mereka berkuasa ....cakap mereka sahih
kita yang haprak ni
semua salah ...apa lagi alasan kita

Atau adakah pekara lain tersembunyi...
ya atau salah tu tafisran diri memasing
sudah nanah menjadi pekung yang tersembunyi didada

namun kekalutan politik menjadi jadi
semua atas nama kerusi
baca lah kamu semua ayat Qursi
lebih berpahala lagi pelindung diri
kalo dia dapat memusingkan masa
tobat tak kan laku kan pekara ......
tapi politik menghalalkan cara
tapi kuasa mengatasi undang buatan manusia

apa yang lebih baik
bergerak tanpa sempadan
tidor tanpa halangan
makan tanpa berpantangan
sehat tubuh badan
dan ini lah yang kita cari
ya... saya dah mulai menjumpainya

komen ...maseh lagi menunngu 1050....ya ...atau mungkin lebih rendah lagi
terperanjat besar malam ni
ari ni tada data masuk
ari ni tiada kerje rumah

Tuesday, July 1

klci Vs bursa Vs Icap

conclusion

klci had surrender the repeated line ..1180
the easy pathway is down .....1150

As for bursa nobody want to support the line
and nobody care at rm8.....
if nobody care rm8
then they want a cheaper entry

Icap also lost support at 2.05
the fund has set on the downtrend

the indicator .. the paten
and the fundamental are in sync
the bearish tone had set in

the repeat of yesteryr
is the pattern emerging again
they.... the durian
we.... the timun
wait your cycles pityful timun
until the day the durian turn to tempoyak
then your hey day will come

then i wait at 1050
aggghh.............................. again wishful thinking

Wednesday, June 25

sapura crest petroleum

SapuraCrest Petroleum Bhd


1Q09 1Q08 YoY

Revenue(Rm m ) 684.4 473.7 44.5%

Pretax Profit (RMm) 45.2 23.5 92.1%

Net Profit (RMm) 20.4 10.4 94.8%

EPS (sen) 1.7 1.1 54.0%

Dividend (sen) non non

Net Asset/share (RM) 0.71 0.68



komen : a good growth stocks walaupun pe amat tinggi namun tetap menaik menaik dan melantung

yester yr punya cerita banyak puas makan dividen/ bonos isue /split etc lagi harga naik melantung .pandai betul la ts Sam punyak anak.setiap kali ada tematik play ada saja kompeni dia turut serta.

kalo scp ni turun harga turutla serta bersamanya. ong lom habis lagi.bersedia dengan duit .kalo tak dapat beli knm beli scp pun jadilah

tak yah tengok chart dia la nanti sakit hati. knape la tak beli ye masa awal lg.

Tuesday, June 24

bursa weekly update



jaga garisan tu agar tak putus
namun garisan tu tak sesiapa yang menjaga nya

pewakil klci lelah dan tak berupaya
muga ada insan yang prihatin akan petanda rm 8
mcD maupun rsi telah berada paras yang baik kini
sekiranya matahari maseh ada
melepasai rm 8
maka boleh kami bermain semula

Monday, June 23

klci weekly update

conclusion

The medium-term trend of the KLCI
continues to be negative with
target of 1050 level. short-term wise, a
trading band of between 1180 and 1220 level
watch those levels of playing feild.

Weekly action

klci market continued to trend lower last
week with the KLCI losing 22.68 points or 1.84%
during the week .The weekly chart klci is trending south.
the support-turned-resistance neckline, currently at
1320 level. Support seen at 1180 level.
Indicator wise, both its weekly RSI and MACD are
weakening.

Daily action

klci has broken both support at 1220 and of 1209

klci is below 30sma and 50sma
at 1256 and 1262. daily RSI is
below the overhead trendline resistance
daily MACD-momentum is weakening.

The sneezer
Dow jones again sneezes and then
tumbled 464.66 points nearly 3.8% last week. It is now
below its 5-year trendline on weekly chart,
currently at 12,450, for 3 weeks, yes it had gone down,

Po target due to break down 10,100. support is seen at the

current level followed by 11,600, which was the peak
registered end 1999. Immediate resistance is at the12,200 followed by 12,450.
Weekly indicators are weak with MACD seen a sell signal.

who caught cold? yes klci
with that dow jones problem on klci unless 1320 is overcome the klci journey is down, provided 1180 can hold
So watch 1180, break down that number then acceleration begin down south.

watch these number

Current level: 1,207
Immediate resistance: 1220
Strong resistance: 1320
Immediate support: 1180

target 1,050 ( wishful thinking that the ci will go there)

Friday, June 20

kaya sekayakaya nya

have you decided yet ? kawan saya bercakap dengan nada menyoal.Da!! saya dah buat keputusan dah mulai saat ni saya dah ambil keputusan menjadi kaya.Ya kaya sekayanya macam Jimi. ialah sekadar lepas dan dapat beli sebiji banglow yang ada s/pool atas bukit , 5 biji merc and travel around the world dengan selelesa lese nya.
kawan yang telah berjaya itu menasihati lagi .. ya kamu buat 5 pekara ini .5 pekara ini lah semua jutawan buat dan mereka amalkan.

Iklas
disiplin
sabar
rajin
cipta sesuatu yang orang lain tak buat

dan sekiranya saya

Thursday, June 19

politikus

sanglang ada masalah
sabah pun mula nak bergolak.
semua atas nama kerusi
atas nama rakyat
tersembunyi dalam diri
kehendak diri

dimana omar
dimana ghandi
mana ada lagi peribadi tu lagi zaman ni
tahta , harta dan wanita
intisari cerita hari ni

macam macam problem timbul la ni.
mungkin ada jinx yang tak elok tahun ni

klci tak suka tengok problem macam ni jatuh 15mata pada 1212.Tunggu masa nak ikut klf.
kalo kl futures lagi teruk dah pass 1200 support line at 1199.

komen: maseh menuuggu ci 1050

Wednesday, June 18

growth stocks

Aeon Credit Service (M) Bhd
1Q08 1Q07 YoY
Revenue (RMm) 42.3 34.1 24.2%
Pretax Profit (RMm) 13.7 7.9 72.8%
Net Profit (RMm) 10.1 5.8 75.9%
EPS (sen) 8.4 5.9 43.5%
Dividend (sen) - -
Net Asset/share (RM) 1.60 1.51

komen: a goood candidite for growth stocks.

Ahhh ?how lucky its to be in the knows

true or not , its every body guessing?

Interest in Syarikat Takaful Malaysia has emerged recently following talks of a possible privatization.
Financial Daily today reported of a possibility of the company to be taken private by its parent Bank Islam
Malaysia as part of the group strategy to restructure its asset management and Islamic insurance
business, with possible acquisition price of between 2.0 and 2.5 times book value. As at 31 Mar, net asset
per share of Takaful Malaysia was RM1.95 while it net tangible asset was RM1.87 per share. The
Malaysia’s first Islamic insurance company made RM15.1m net profit on the back of RM761.0m revenue in
the 9 months ended 31 Mar 08, translating into EPS of 9.5 sen; in FY June 07, it made 13.8 sen EPS.
Since 30 Apr this year, the counter has appreciated by 32.9% to RM1.82, hitting a high of RM2.00 on 11
and 12 June. Its 3-m average daily volume is 0.147m shares only but high volume was registered over the
last 9 trading days with average daily volume of 0.814m shares during that period. Technically, immediate
support is at RM1.77 followed by RM1.60. Resistance on the weekly chart is at RM1.86, and if decisively
broken, the technical target is at RM2.40

komen : if we all are in the knows no need to know TA ,FA and all those guessing tools just bought before the annoucement there you are millionare alredi

Monday, June 16

KLCI

KLCI direction

Long term
KLCI continues to be negative.

Short term
Trading range within the 1210-1245 trading
band. Ability of the daily KLCI to move
beyond its trendline resistance may see a
technical rebound until June month end.

Action last week
The KLCI continued to trend lower throughout lastweek except for Friday when it moved 3.81 pointshigher.
Week-on-week, the index dropped 19.22
points or 1.54%.

Technical look
The index is below both its 30-day and 50-day simple
moving averages of 1266 and 1263 respectively.
Indicator wise, its daily RSI is below the trendline
Resistance while its daily MACD is flattish.
The weekly chart shows that the index is still
trending south following the failed attempt to break
the support-turned-resistance neckline, currently at
1320 level. Support is pegged at the 1185 level.
Indicator wise, both its weekly RSI and MACD are still weak.

Inter market relationship
Over on Wall Street, djia rebounded by 97.54 points or 0.80% last
week after tumbling 3.39% the previous week. It is
still below its 5½-year trendline at 12,450 on its
weekly chart. Immediate resistance is at the current
level while strong resistance is at the 12,650 level.
Immediate support us at 11,850. Daily technical
indicators suggest the possibility of a technical
rebound but the 12,450-12,650 levels are strong resistance.

Conclusion
To conclude, the medium-term trend of the KLCI
continues to be negative. Near-term wise, it is
trapped within the 1210-1245 trading band. Ability of
the daily KLCI to move beyond its trendline
resistance may see a technical rebound until June.

paremeter to watch

klci now: 1,229
Immediate resistance: 1250
Strong resistance: 1320
Immediate support: 1210 /1180

I am waiting for 1,050 ( itu pun kalo jadi )

Sunday, June 15

hold on the line


bursa sits on the line?
the hesitation makes it hard to decide?
as the skirmish rumbles on
which way the easiest pathway?
that decide the future?
i act on what i see and not on what i hear

resorts world

tak sangka ada orang yang prihatin... I thought nobody read my blog?
any way all the counters are created to cheat you... is it true? ... think hard?.. so be the one who is the master of all the cheaters.

p/s ....the blog is not meant for sell or buy recommendation whether syariah compliant or non syariah compliant.

Friday, June 13

resorts.. just a game-non muslim counter

Resorts World closed lower to RM2.89 after hitting its 52-week low of RM2.86 friday. The
counter has fallen 37% from a high of RM4.60 on 24 Jul 07. now ah,sentimen not good ppl , cautious consumer sentiment amid the recent petrol price since june 05 thusday 2008 hike rm2.70 from rm1.92.
Now everything up chicken rm7/kg ,rice up 100% so ppl keep money to buy food rather than go Genting Highlands to gamble to lose more money.
Fundamentally, company has a healthy balance sheet, backed by a net cash position of
RM3.16b or 54 sen per share and has a monopoly advantage in casino business. For the past 3 years, it traded at a PER band of 12.0x to 26.6x and it is now at 12.5x based on FY08 EPS forecast of 23.3 sen.
The valuation now is relatively cheap and the market may have over discounted the potential risk.
(no body can say cheap unless it’s a bottom)
Technical perspective, share price has broken down a triangle formation with neckline (now strong resistance) at RM3.15. The ultimate objective of this formation is RM1.70.po at 1.70 here then ppl can buy la
Can it reach there ah ?if I know I am billionaire olredi no need to write blogging futher more i cannot buy non syariah compliant though its just a game.

Chart see strong support at RM2.60, being the channel support on its weekly chart. From the current level, upside potential (on any rebound to the resistance) is 8.2% while downside risk (at RM2.60 supportlevel) is 10.7%..you culculate la the risk reward ratio 8.2/10.7 aaiya not good man .

Wednesday, June 11

beware


i advise myself.... beware

Tuesday, June 10

failure daily system


the fb30 fail as plan
exited with loss
change the plan now with long term approach
system still intact

lost

kelip kelip ku sangka api
kalau api mana puntungnya
hilang gaib ku sangka mati
kalau mati mana kuburnya

Monday, June 9

wave c

has the KLCI entered into wave C of the Wave 4 which is a
downtrend.?
if there is any short term rebound may go to to
the 1300 level (nobody knows) just guessing
while on the downside, the final technical target is at
1050 but look at support 1200's (just guessing)

as of last week KLCI level 1265 as support do not hold then the easy path way is down .weekly lost 2.16% or 27pts

Fact to consider
klci below sma 30 and 50 at 1276/1265
both 30 wk sma anad 50 wk sma dn cut below 1240
wkly macd gave a buy signal but nobody cares

Over on Wall Street, the DJIA tumbled 428.51 points
or 3.39% last week following a 394.64-point plunge
last Friday. The average has now moved below its
crucial 5½-year trend line, currently at 12,400. As
long as the DJIA is below this trend line, it is negative
with breakdown channel formation of 10,100.again guessing

summary
is the party,long over for klci?
has KLCI entered into wave C of Wave 4 which is a downtrend.?
Any rebound is limited to the 1300 level while on the
downside, the final technical target is at 1050 with
immediate support levels at 1200.who cares?
this type of market belong to the master who is expert in catching the falling "keris"(my sifu king! can do this)

what the real PO? ,actually nobody knows except Mr market himself

the bone , the meat and the aroma


the correction will not end
unless all the market geniouses are on board the train

using fully TA will end with peanut or negatif return-bone
using fully FA will end up overstayed the market- good aroma
using astrologer or tips you get cheated first-bad aroma

with help of the insider and operator then you get the meat

Sunday, June 8

its better to wait ?


anticipated h/s bottom does not came true?
lucky did not enter ?
lessons
always wait patiently
do not anticipated thing
always act using your eyes open
not using your feeling

Tuesday, May 20

Are we on wave b of a larger wave 4?



is the upward movement on the progress now is the b wave?
can this b wave end at 1340-1350?
are we not going to c wave if b wave end at 1340-1350?

ooh how I wish this elliott be true before the fact?
so no relabelling is needed at this critical juncture?
or is it the labelling isnt look right?

Sunday, May 18

lingui


go long for this ctr
good joint venture with NZ
good sawn log companies
single digit PE


Ta with beautiful chart
What else can I say ?
say no more?

verify these with your work?

kurniasetia


another real under value stock
Good business prospect for next financial year
Good commodity play
Single digit PE


Good TA with beautiful chart
The failure of the head and shoulder pattern
Meaning that the stock is going to go up
do the verification yourself ?

Saturday, May 17

trc syn bhd


Real under value stock?
pe single digit 5.1 to fy09 steep discount?
good next financial yr forecast pospect
good profit margin?
oil and gas theme+const'n ?
good prospect ?
propose bonus issue1:5 ?
had good support ?
uptrend up?
verify these or can we debate this?

Thursday, May 15

wait patiently and anxiously waiting


sime darby
the skirmish began not settle yet
let us join those who win

another good call or plain newbie luck


gold correction has long set in
wait another setup
wait patiently
are you tired of waiting

is this a good call or just newbie luck?


rm/usd correction has set in
exited long
wait again the next set up

Tuesday, May 13

usd/rm chart



watch the chart
the put has broken
internal hook down
po more than expected
look like correction of rm /usd has set in

Friday, May 9

nak berjaya ikutilah mereka yang telah berjaya

Perkenalan saya kepada lagenda ulung didalam dunia saham iaitu Jesse Livermoore bermula apabila saya telah membeli sebuah buku bertajuk "Reminiscences of a Stock Operator" oleh Edwin LeFevre. Buku ini adalah merupakan klasik yang amat digemari oleh semua pelabur saham didunia termasuk di malaysia.Kebanyakan pelabur mahu pun pemain saham mengakui bahawa beliau lah tokoh yang disegani hingga kini .Beliau dengan tepat telah dapat meramal bahawa Amerika akan mengalami kegawatan ekonomi dan dari percaturan ini beliau telah dapat memperolehi keuntungan melebehi usd100 juta hasil jualan yang beliau lakukan.

Hasil dari perkenalan pertama tersebut saya telah membaca dua buku lain yang mempunyai kaitan dengan lageda saham tersebut.Tajuk kedua buah buku tersebut adalah "Jesse Livermore: World's Greatest Stock Trader" dan "Trade Like Jesse Livermore", kedua ditulis oleh Richard Smitten.


Buku "Jesse Livermore: World's Greatest Stock Trader", adalah buku yang menarik untuk dibaca. Buku tersebut lebih menerangkan latar belakang dan biograpi kehidupan Jesse. Jesse dilahirkan pada tahun 1877 di Massachusetts dikalangan keluarga petani yang susah. Sejak kecil lagi beliau amat minat membaca dan minat membaca ini telah menjadikan beliau yang amat kreatif dengan mempunyai IQ yang tinggi.Semangat nya yang tinggi untuk keluar dari belenggu kemiskinan didalam kehidupan petani membuatkan beliau lari dari rumah apabila bapanya memberhentikan beliau dari sekolah.Pada waktu itu beliau berumur 14 tahun.Dengan berbekalkan cuma usd 5 saja diadalam saku beliau telah lari dari rumah dan berhijrah ke Boston .

Sebaik sampai di Boston beliau telah berehat dan terhenti di hadapan sebuah pejabat bernama Paine Webber. Dia amat terpikat dengan gelagat pelangan disitu dan tertarik keatas tape bergerak bagi penanda saham selain gelagat budak budak pejabat yang sibuk menulis dan mennghantar pergerakan harga diatas papan harga.Pada masa yang sama beliau terus berjumpa pengurus pejabat tersebut dan berjaya mendapat pekerjaan sebagai budak galeri .Beliau amat berminat dengan pekerjaan beliau dan beliau lah orang pertama setiap hari akan muncul orang pertama yang datang ke pejabat.Dengan bekerja sebagai “Budak Kapur” disitulah permulaan Jesse mempelajari selok belok dunia saham dan disitulah bermula ia menghadiri “kolej saham” yang di pelajarinya sendiri.Didalam hati beliau beliau yakin yang kemiskinan yang amat dirisaukan selama ini akan berakhir dan dunia saham ini lah merupakan alat beliau untuk menjadi kaya raya.

Untuk Jesse kali pertama membuat keuntungan yang berlipat ganda tinggi adalah pada tahun 1907 sebaik saja ekonomi Amerika mengalami keruntuhan.Keuntungan yang pertama ini tidak kekal lama dimana dia telah mengalami kekalahan namun beliau bangun semula dengan keuntungan yang berlipat kali ganda.

Jesse telah berkahwin dengan seorang wanita pertunjukan dan mendiami disebuah rumah agam di Long Island.Dengan mengunakan sebuah kapal yang berukuran 300 kaki beliau setiap hari berlayar berulang alek ke Wall Street.Kebijaksanaan beliau kini lebih menyerlah dan pada tahun 1929 sekali lagi Amerika mengalami kekawatan ekonomi beliau telah meramal dan menjual pendek (short selling) dan penjualan ini telah meraih keuntungan melebehi 100 juta untuk beliau.Kegemaran beliau meraih keuntungan melalui jualan pendek yakni ketika ekonomi Amerika hendak merudum inilah beliau digelar Plunger Boy dalam istilah melayu ialah “budak terjun menjunam” .

Jesse apabila mulai berurus niaga beliau berurusan dalam keadaan yang penuh rahsia .Tidak siapa dibenarkan untuk bercakap atau berbincang dengan beliau apabila pasaran dibuka .Pejabat nya di Fifth Avenue sentiasa dikawal rapi dan penoperasian nya adalah dirahsiakan.Tumpuan nya adalah untuk mengatasi Wall Street.Lubuk di hati nya matlamat nya yang utama adalah mendapatkan lantunan harga yang tinggi lebih dari mendapat sedikit anjakan kenaikan harga harian.

Livermore faham bahawa untuk berjaya didunia yang diceburinya ia perlu ada perancangan yang rapi dan perancangan itu hanya boleh menjelma dengan melaksanakan analisa yang berterusan .Dengan kerja keras saja lah segala usha nya akan berhasil.

Etika sanggup bekerja keras ini lah yang membezakan kita selama ini.Kita yang berkeinginan untuk mendapat kejayaan tetapi tidak mahu bekerja keras dan yang lebih menyedihkan lagi kita mahukan nya sekelip mata.Tidak seperti Livermoore kita menceburi bidang ini malangnya tumpuan dan kesungguhan tidak disertai dengan tindakan kita malahan ilmu dan pengalaman dibidang yang kita ceburi amat rendah berbanding dengan beliau dari sejak berumur 14 tahun telah berkecimpong dengan dunia saham.

Tidak seperti zaman Livermore dahulu yang amat berkurang dengan peralatan canggih yang pelabur saham kini miliki sekarang seperti komputer dan skrin lcd komputer yang berganda dan dengan seribu satu jenis chart yang mempunyai seribu satu jenis teknikal indikator namun pelabur kini amat sukar menandingi kebolehan beliau yang serba berkurangan pada waktu itu.Secara tak langsung keujudan teknologi kini telah memendekan pandangan kita untuk mendapat keuntungan yang berganda kerana komputer secara tak langsung telah mengajar dan mendidik kita menjadi tak sabar bagi meraih keuntungan yang lebih berganda.

Pelabur kini yang tidak bervisi jauh hanya puas dengan sedikit keuntungan yang diperolehi untuk digembargemburkan .Mereka berbanga untuk digelar guru saham dikalangan mereka .Natijahnya mereka terlupa maksud sebenar mengapa mereka melabur iaitu mendapat keuntungan dan sentiasa menang dalam jangkaan pelaburan mereka.

Livermore berfikiran jauh sentiasa menilai situasi semasa dan bergerak secara waspada dan berhati hati.Sentiasa melabur kecilan dahulu untuk menguji keaadaan semasa dan apabila semua faktor memihak kepada beliau maka beliau akan melabur secara besar besaran.Untuk tindakan nekad ini bukan dibuat tanpa membuat sebarang kajian risiko dan tanpa melaksanakan kerjarumah beliau.Beliau amat sabar bagi menantikan peluang yang terbaik sebelum membeli atau menjual.Beliau akan menunggu dan sabar menanti bagi mendapatkan masa yang terbaik bagi membeli saham yang beliau ikuti.Ciri ciri seperti kerja keras dan kesabaran inilah yang patut dicontohi bagi pelabur baru sekiranya mereka ingin mendapatkan kemenangan didalam permainan ini.Malang nya kita selalu melabur mengikut emosi dan mendengar tips yang mudah kerana ia tidak memerlukan kerja rumah dan perancangan yang rapi.

"Harga baru tertinggi adalah penting bagi untuk masa membeli..Harga tertinggi yang baru boleh bermaksud bahawa saham tersebut telah memecah penawaran oleh stok tersebut dan merobek garis resistence untuk bergerak keatas.Kebanyakan dari kita apabila melihat harga saham telah telah memecah kepada harga tertinggi merelka akan menjualnya dan mencari saham lain yang harga rendah." (Jesse Livermore: World's Greatest Stock Trader, page 276)

Kaedah ini amat berbeza dengan strategi yang digunapakai oleh Jesse.

Sekali lagi Jessse telah menasihati kita agar berwaspada menggunakan perkataan bullish atau bearish..Ini adalah disebabkan kedua perkatan ini akan terpahat diminda kita dan tindakan kita akan mempengaruhi apa yang minda kita fikirkan.Beliau menasihatkan menggunakan perkataan tren menaik atau tren menurun adalah lebih wajar ,Dengan perkatan mudah ini otak kita tidak akan terpahat sampai bebila untuk sentiasa berfikir bahawa market akan sentiasa naik, bila perkataan bullish selalu digunakan dan sebaliknya.Apila ditanya orang berkaitan arah tuju pasaran semasa maka ucapkanlah garis resistence yang paling lemah kini adalah menaik atau menurun untuk masa kini. (Ibid., page 283)

Falsafah beliau untuk ini adalah untuk kita berhati apabila berkata kerana ia akan mempengaruhi tidakan kita apabila otak kita telah di “brain wash” dengan ulangan perkatan yang sentiasa kita sebut.

"Saham pada lazimnya tidak terlalu tinggi untuk kita mula membeli dan tidak pula rendah untuk kita mulai menjual pendek”(Ibid., page 274)

"Waspadalah keaadaan stok pemimpin saham (kounter blue chip) kerana saham yang berwajaran demikian lah membantu menaikan pasaran saham secara am.Apabila saham berwajaran pemimpin ini mulai tidak menunjukan membuat sebarang kenaikan harga tertingi ini penunjuk awal bahawa pasaran saham akan membuat belokan “U”kepada tren yang terbentuk.Sekiranya pemimpin saham ini jatuh selalunya seluruh pasaran saham akan ikut jatuh." (Ibid., page 276)

Secara am nya sekiranya anda ingin berjaya dalam pasaran saham anda perlu mencontohi mereka yanfg berjaya dalam pasaran saham.Untuk anda yang berminat mencontohi Livermore anda perlu melakukan satu pekara penting ia itubekerjakeras.Rajin dan sentiasa menganalisa pasaran .Buku berjudul "Trade Like Jesse Livermore" telah mendetailkan bagaimana Jesse menyediakan perancangan beliau sebelum pasaran saham bermula bagaimana ia bekerja dan cara beliau bekerja iatu secara berahsia.Ini amat penting sekiranya beliau gerak secara semua orang tahu maka amat sukar beliau untuk berfikir sendiri dan beliau sendiri akan terpengaruh dengan hujah dan pendapat awam.Buku ini juga memberi nasihat khusus untuk pelabur agar sentiasa memilih saham yang berwajran pemimpin selain memahami untuk bagaimana memahami industri yang patut kita membeli selain mengajar bagaimana menilai pergerakan harga selain pembentukan paten yang spesifik .Kaedah titek pivot juga di terangakan selain mempelajari kepentingan volume dan bagaimana menggunakan garisan uptren dan garisan downtren dan kaedah membeli dan menjual melalui titek break out.

Sepertimana yang selalu kita dengari untuk jadi berjaya ikutilah mereka yang berjaya dan oleh itu sekiranya anda dan saya ingin berjaya dibidang saham ikutilah kaedah dan falsafah yang diguna pakai oleh lagenda saham ini.Walupun teknik beliau adalah kira lama tetapi sehingga kini banyak kaedah dan falsafahnya masih relevent dan diamalkan oleh pemain pemain saham yag berjaya

Thursday, May 8

gartley model


ingat selalu gartley ni


Wednesday, May 7

taubat

basahi lidah ku dengan astagfirullah

Tuesday, May 6

for me to remember


My first introduction to the life of Jesse Livermore was in 2000 when I bought a copy of the book "Reminiscences of a Stock Operator" by Edwin LeFevre. This book is a beloved classic. Many traders consider Jesse Livermore to be the greatest stock trader that ever lived. He made over $100 million as America headed into the Depression.

My 2nd introduction to the life of this legendary speculator was by reading two books: "Jesse Livermore: World's Greatest Stock Trader" and "Trade Like Jesse Livermore", both written by Richard Smitten.

The book, "Jesse Livermore: World's Greatest Stock Trader", is a fun book to read. The book is a biography of Jesse's life. Jesse was born in 1877 in Massachusetts to poor farmers. As a boy he devoured books, magazines and newspapers, which expanded his imagination and high intelligence. He wanted to escape the punishing life of a poor farmer. At age fourteen his father yanked him from school and was told he would now work full-time on the farm. Within weeks he ran away with $5 in his pocket to seek his fortune in Boston.

Upon his arrival in Boston he stopped outside the Paine Webber offices. He was fascinated with the customers, ticker tape clicking, and gallery boys posting prices on chalkboards. He found the manager, asked for a job and was hired to be a gallery boy. He loved it. Jesse was always the first one to the office. Being a chalk boy was his enrollment in the Stock Market College. He reveled in everything about the job and the markets. He knew that someday he would be a rich man.

Jesse made a fortune in the crash of 1907, which he later lost, only to make and lose fortunes several more times. He married a beautiful showgirl and they lived on Long Island in a magnificent mansion. His 300 foot yacht ferried him to Wall Street each morning. He sold the market short before the crash of 1929 and entered the Depression with more than $100 million in cash.

Jesse traded in absolute secrecy. No one was allowed to speak to him when the markets were open. His office on Fifth Avenue was highly secure and secretive. His exhilaration was in beating the Street. He knew that big money was made in big swings with big positions, and his trading style earned him the nickname of "Boy Plunger". Livermore developed a plan, a strategy based on hard work and never ending analysis. He believed there is only one way to achieve success in speculation -- through hard work and persistently hard work.

Livermore's aptitude for persistent hard work is probably the primary characteristic of what make him the legendary trader till today. Many traders have characteristics that are exactly the opposite of Livermore's.

Not like Livermore’s yesteryear, today's traders are armed with computers and multiple monitors that display dozens of charts. These charts are heavily dressed with complex studies, visual effects, alerts and automated trading systems. If their real-time feed has even a few seconds of lag time, today's traders feel cheated out of a better fill price. Technology has shortened the horizon of their vision, and the duration of their patience. Traders have become impatient scalpers, pacified with a diet of RM100 successes. Today's traders crave instant success and want an adrenalin rush every day. And as a result, they trade away what they want most (big money) for what they want right now (a winning trade).

Trader's thrive on admiration and kudos from other traders. If a trader has a hot streak, he is elevated by his peers to the status of mentor and others surrender independent thinking and fall into lock-step with the mentor's leadership.

Livermore looked ahead, evaluated the general conditions, moved prudently, tested first with a small position, and plunged only after he was convinced that all factors were in his favor. He did his homework. He was patient, and waited until the big swing came along. He waited for his judgment to be confirmed. Unfortunately, these characteristics and behaviors do not describe today's typical trader.

"New highs are very important for timing. A new all-time high can mean that the stock has broken through the overhead supply of stock and the line of least resistance will be strongly upward. Many people, when they see that a stock has made a new high, sell it immediately, then go to look for a cheaper stock." (Jesse Livermore: World's Greatest Stock Trader, page 276)

Here are a few more words of wisdom that seem appropriate to have in mind at this time. "Do not use the words 'Bullish' or 'Bearish'. These words fix a firm market-direction in the mind for an extended period of time. Instead use 'Upward Trend' and 'Downward Trend' when asked the direction you think the market is headed. Simply say: 'The line of least resistance is either upward, or downward at this time." (Ibid., page 283)

"Stocks are never too high to begin buying or too low to begin selling short." (Ibid., page 274)

"Watch the market leaders, the stocks that have led the charge upward in a bull market. When these stocks falter or fail to make new highs it is often a signal that the market is turning. As the leaders go, so goes the entire market." (Ibid., page 276)

If you want to trade like Jesse Livermore, you will have to do the 'hard work'. The book "Trade Like Jesse Livermore" has considerable detail on how Jesse would prepare for his trading day, how he handled the media and news, how he did his own thinking and worked in secret. The book gives specific advice in trading only the leaders, understanding industry groups and their movements, and shows the specific patterns Livermore used such as the Reversal Pivotal Point. This book teaches about the importance of volume, and how to use trend lines and break-outs.

Some readers of this article will act on the advice to do 'hard work'. Others feel they are already working hard, when in reality, they are just expressing they have found it is hard to be a successful trader.

I am guilty of not doing the 'hard work' like Jesse Livermore. I am still enrolled in the Stock Market College. Hopefully we are all enrolled and not skipping class or the homework assignments. There is so much yet to learn even after 20 years.

Monday, May 5

thanks to kee's world


when intellect and guesstimate are not in harmony

thanks to kee's world


when intellect and guesstimate are in harmony

Saturday, May 3

How am I going to win?


the pros have all these?
what do i have?

for me to remember

the goal here is not to compete but to win

think win.. you can.. you know

somebody has to ... lets be me

for me to remember

in this game , the main aim is profit.. nothing else should matter

for me to remember

The big money is not made from the small,
day to day fluctuations, but from the big moves - Jesse Livermore

Wednesday, April 30

gold update


For me , the cyclic and momentum investing or mid term investor I said "good bye gold and thanked you for your ride" may we meet again in the next upward movement. please bring me in again.

The fight begin in ftse30b


A good run of the main board proxy has filled up the gap .At the moment the proxy had met a very nice resistance at 8500 level. The nice resistance at 8500 had to be overcome .If this level is broken to the upside the ftse30 is on the way to 8800
If the index hesitate and enter again the 8300 level then sideways movement is expected. This is the arena where the fight between bull and bear begin.Let us watch who win this time.
so watch 8500level then upside resume, then the bull win.
so watch 8000 then downside resume then the bear win

watchman

The "limbic system"

Keep the Job To yourself.
The surest way to win in the stock market is never , yes never to let everybody knows about what your position are. not to your wife or not to your girl friend or not even asking your kid whether your position is right or wrong.Just you yourself should know about your position.

The only adviser that you should always consult is the "mr. market" himself as he is your only adviser .
By telling people what your position are in the market ,the fear and greed factor will disturb the imbalance of your "amygdala" and thus it will affect emotional state of your brain.This amygdala which is part of f the limbic system that control the 3F that is fear fight and flight then indirectly will affect and manifested through your action.

As in this game the main aim is to get profit nothing else should matter.

Tuesday, April 29

data entry

data entry all da abis
ni la pasal kalo komputer buat hal
mesti ada
2 hard disk spare each for the komputer

Tuesday, April 22

fb30etf




st-tm excitement (adrenalin shot)
betting on for newbies luck
fearish and enter at 8.48

(again bad start, slippage .05)
position now losing at 8.45

po and cut loss in place

reason enter

in sync with ftse30 (wat ever la...1001 reasons ...now losing)


emotion =now hoping

Sunday, April 20

ftse bursa30- Alert

ALERT
ftse30 proxy for 30mn-bd
for md-tm not in trade

for st-tm
need special alert

rs-ln of 8330 is on verge of breakin the ln
watch this on monday

If fail to brk 8330 with vol/price range
it will play in the sd-ways
If fail dn 8030 then watch dn

Watch the line 8330-8030

emotion=anxious+excited

rm usd chart


smooth sailing
still long
emotion = happy

gold alert


gold on the verge of break down
po reached more than anticipated
internal now weakening
dr-ruler verge of break dn

watch this weak if rm2950 cl-pr do the exit
if not ride on trend
emotion= fear