iklan

Sunday, July 25

my new home...

My TH
after buy and sell ... now i have settle to Tiara Height .. I bought on Jan 2010 ..this year .. pd immediately 5k .. they say that buy now at rm430 if later the price will up rm450.. its right the price now rm450 .. all till jun2010 I had paid 86k.. I pd cash at the moment.. my mistke is I bought at the 3rd hse from last.. if  4th one is better.. any how I think the 3rd one is better than the rest.. progrees is the second 10 percent with total payment up till date is 20%...

my house


Lucky rezky said... may this house bring happiness and more luck to me

Saturday, July 24

main trend indicator

in or out of the market I rely on this main indicator ie FBMKLCI. as for me this indicator whether I can go in or out of the market.

As of now the trend is up.. is it for the long term or short term I do not know but the trend now is up.. the paten is now DP .. there is no concrete evidence that the main trend is up for the long term until MAV paten tell me so.. until ma 8s is pass over the high of the previous ma I see that the trend is up for this short term

FBMKLCI graph is as follows

after the last Po found and exited the new leg being formed and the paten is now I call it danger paten.. until it moves out I do not say that the Long term is but only the short term is up..

Conclusion By Lucky Rezky
Enjoy it while you can thoug only for a short while.. while the sun is out.. if it rain comes then take cover...

in the game

my new method is pomavlin


i got to know the po first wether its for down or up.
po is determine by mav paten with 8mas and 4 bar and lin confirming it.

in lin I am using stoch 844 and macd as 84 weighted. all in i am using weekly bar as my way... why u may ask ?asssume  if manipulation by syndicate it cant stand to manipulate it through out the week.


eg as of AMMB




gambar kat atas tak lawa la... ok below its a better picture i down load for u
eg as of AMMB as bought on 14july2010

exit po ok
mav paten ok
internals ok

next po is rm5.35




PS.....if any body just coud not understand the lingo just ask me in the box...
still in the game mbb buy rm7.00, ammb 5.2 axiata buy 3.30  

Friday, July 23

Tuesday, July 20

bila la nak mula?

Those who think they have no time for bodily exercise will sooner or later have to find time for illness...Edward Stanley (14th Earl of Darby, 1799-1869)

The C word is not churn, candlesticks, commodities, contango, crash, curbs or any other Wall Street term that comes to mind. It's CORTISOL.

Cortisol. an adrenal hormone, plays a critical role in the normal response to stress. By normal I mean the "short-lived, fight or flight and it is over" type of stress. In this way, cortisol is useful and protective to the body.

However, in extended periods of stress—with little or no respite, cortisol increases to high levels and stays elevated. When this occurs, this hormone shuts down normal neuroendocrine feedback mechanisms that regulate the adrenal gland and produce a chronic state of adrenal fatigue with a wide variety of signs and symptoms which include:

1.Fatigue, despite what would normally be sufficient sleep
2.Insomnia
3.Weight gain
4.Compromise of the immune system, leading to frequent colds, flu or other infections
5.Depression
6.Hair loss
7.Diabetes and other metabolic abnormalities
8.Skin eruptions
9.Reliance on legal (caffeine, OTC, herbal stimulants) and illegal (amphetamine, cocaine) stimulants
10.Increased craving for sweets and simple carbohydrates
11.Intolerance to cold
12.Deposition of belly fat, leading to protruding abdomen and back pain due to loss of support of the bony spine
13.Irritability, anxiety, panic, cloudy thinking , impaired judgment
14.Muscle and bone loss
15.Elevated blood pressure with cardiac irregularities
16.Increase in cholesterol and triglycerides
17.Addiction to or abuse of alcohol, gambling, sex or shopping in an attempt to medicate stress
18.Just plain feeling awful and not knowing why
You are troubled by the way you look and feel. You have gone to one medical practitioner after the other and they either tell you nothing is wrong or prescribe medication to deal with one or more symptoms and it makes you feel worse. Or they tell you that you are stressed and you should do something about the stress. Unfortunately, much of allopathic medicine doesn’t deal with stress-related illness until it becomes full blown and you are seriously ill.

There is absolutely no excuse for allowing stress to control your mind and body. It reflects a lack of self-esteem by telling the world that no matter how much money you make (or lose) trading, you don't care about yourself. You sit at the computer for hours and don't move. How is that working for you and how toxic is that for your body? Moreover, the chemicals and free radicals which accumulate in your body are slowly destroying your most important trading tool—the brain.

Immobility, junk food, binge snacking ( especially late at night), saturated fats, low-carb or high glycemic foods, one diet after another(few, if any work), inadequate exercise discipline and not caring for yourself are akin to poisoning yourself. Sabotage your health and you will soon sabotage your trading. What difference does it make how much money you make if you drop dead at age 50 from cardiovascular, degenerative or metabolic disease?

What should you do? Even if you knew, would you know where to start and would you be disciplined enough to follow through?

I don't really teach you to trade (although you tell me repeatedly that I do). I help you get right with yourself so that you are in the mental, emotional, physical and spiritual condition that gives you the necessary edge to become successful, not only in trading, but in every aspect of your life.

In Part 2 of this article, I will have some suggestions and simple tips to help you get started.

Janice Dorn, M.D., Ph.D.

Saturday, July 3

keep it simple.. by dr van Tharp

by VanTharp

This applies to so many things in life and it also applies to anything you might do in trading or investing. Keep things simple.

Your mind only has a conscious capacity of about seven chunks of information. You cannot hold anything more than that in consciousness. Have someone give you a series of 10 two-digit numbers and you’ll probably find that you have trouble remembering more than five of them because of this limitation in capacity. If you attempt to do complex things with the market that require you to use more capacity than you have, then you’ll probably fail.

Now, keeping it simple doesn’t mean that you can’t use a computer to sort through the vast amount of information available about the market. On the contrary, I highly recommend it. However, it simply means that your methodology and your daily tasks do not have to be rocket science. In fact, the more you try to do, the less likely you are to succeed.

I recently did a psychological profile of a broker/trader that ranked in the bottom 1% of all investors who had taken my psychological test. He had high stress, a lot of internal conflict, poor organization, no system, a negative attitude—and probably everything else you could possibly name. I then did a 10 minutes did a ten minute consultation with him, but he really needed several days. However, the key issue for him was how overwhelmed he felt by everything that came across his desk. How could he find good stocks when there are so many stocks? How could he follow any given plan when his clients all had conflicting goals and motivations? His life was a mess.

This broker needed a lot of psychological work first. His life was in chaos because his mind was in a state of chaos. Simplify the chaos in your mind and you’ll simplify the chaos in your life. And you can start that by deciding what you want in life (such as the dream life that was suggested in a prior tip) and then focusing on only one or two simple goals from that dream life.

Secondly, he needed a simple system to track his own trading—preferably a long term system that only gave him a few signals each week and that only required that he look at the market after the close. That way his personal decisions only had to be made once each day and they could be done away from the chaos of the market. That system could be something as simple as buying on a 110 day channel breakout; use the weekly volatility as a worst case exit; trail it from the close as a profit taking stop; and don’t risk more than 1% of his equity on any trade. In his case, he needed to do a survey of all of his beliefs about himself and that market. From that survey, he could begin to design a trading method that fit him.

Third, he needed to do a mental rehearsal for the day at the beginning of each day and a daily debriefing at the end—these are two of the more important tasks in the ten tasks of trading. But they are simple.

In the mental rehearsal, you merely ask yourself some questions like "What could go wrong today that I’m not prepared for?" If you come up with some potential problems, then you need to come up with some solutions and rehearse them in your mind. It’s that simply, but when you do it your trading and your life will improve.

Similarly, at the end of the day you need to ask yourself, "Did I make any mistakes today?" A mistake, by the way, has to do with not following your rules. And if you have no rules, then everything you do is a mistake. If no mistakes were made, then simply pat yourself on the back. However, if you did make a mistake, then plan and rehearse how you will avoid that mistake in the future. Imagine the impact that correcting each mistake that you make will have on your life and trading!

These are all simple steps. Success comes from following simple steps. When you understand that and practice it, your performance will improve dramatically.

Tuesday, June 29

story of a workaholic

In the early part of the 20th century, Jesse Livermore was the most successful (and most feared) stock trader on Wall Street. He called the stock market crash of 1907 and once made $3 million in a single day. In 1929, Livermore went short several stocks and made $100 million. He was blamed for the stock market crash that year, and solidified his nickname, "The Boy Plunger." Livermore was also a successful commodities trader.

I think the most valuable knowledge one can gain regarding trading and markets comes from studying market history, and studying the methods of successful traders of the past. Jesse Livermore and Richard Wyckoff are two of the most famous and successful traders of the first half of the 20th century. Many of the most successful traders of today have patterned their trading styles after those of the great traders of the past.

Here are some valuable nuggets I have gleaned from the book, "How to Trade Stocks," by Jesse Livermore, with added material from Richard Smitten. It's published by Traders Press and is available at Amazon.com. Most of the nuggets below are direct quotes from Livermore, himself.

"All through time, people have basically acted and reacted the same way in the market as a result of: greed, fear, ignorance, and hope. That is why the numerical (technical) formations and patterns recur on a constant basis."

"The game of speculation is the most uniformly fascinating game in the world. But it is not a game for the stupid, the mentally lazy, the person of inferior emotional balance, or the get-rich-quick adventurer. They will die poor."

Don't take action with a trade until the market, itself, confirms your opinion. Being a little late in a trade is insurance that your opinion is correct. In other words, don't be an impatient trader.

Livermore's money made in speculation came from "commitments in a stock or commodity showing a profit right from the start." Don't hang on to a losing position for very long.

"It is foolhardy to make a second trade, if your first trade shows you a loss. Never average losses. Let this thought be written indelibly upon your mind."

"Remember this: When you are doing nothing, those speculators who feel they must trade day in and day out, are laying the foundation for your next venture. You will reapbenefits from their mistakes."

"When a margin call reaches you, close your account. Never meet a margin call. You are on the wrong side of a market. Why send good money after bad? Keep that good money for another day."

Livermore coined what he called "Pivotal Points" in a market or a stock. Basically, they were: (1) Price levels at which the stock or market reversed course previously--in other words, previous major tops or bottoms; and (2) psychological price levels such as 50 or100, 200, etc. He would buy a stock or commodity that saw a price breakout above the Pivotal Point, and sell a stock or commodity that saw a price breakout below a Pivotal Point.

"Successful traders always follow the line of least resistance. Follow the trend. The trend is your friend."

A prudent speculator never argues with the tape. Markets are never wrong--opinions often are.

Few people succeed in the market because they have no patience. They have a strong desire to get rich quickly.

"I absolutely believe that price movement patterns are being repeated. They are recurringpatterns that appear over and over, with slight variations. This is because markets aredriven by humans--and human nature never changes."

When you make a trade, "you should have a clear target where to sell if the market moves against you. And you must obey your rules! Never sustain a loss of more than 10% of your capital. Losses are twice as expensive to make up. I always established a stop before making a trade."

"I am fully aware that of the millions of people who speculate in the markets, few peoplespend full time involved in the art of speculation. Yet, as far as I'm concerned it is a full-time job--perhaps even more than a job. Perhaps it is a vocation, where many are calledbut few are singled out for success."

"The big money is made by the sittin' and the waitin'--not the thinking. Wait until all the factors are in your favor before making the trade."

An important point I want to make is that Jesse Livermore's trading success came not because of any "inside" information or some huge store of knowledge he had about each and every stock or commodities market he traded. Livermore's trading success was derived from his understanding of human behavior. He realized early on that markets and stocks can and do change--but people and their behaviors do not. Therein lay his formula for trading success. That formula for trading success has not changed since Livermore's hey day in the stock and commodities markets almost a century ago.

A final note: Jesse Livermore may have been called the greatest stock market trader of the 20th century, but I question that notion. Certainly, no one can disagree that his profits were immense and his trading prowess was unmatched. But his life was not in balance. He was a "workaholic" who paid too little attention to his family. Livermore put a gun to his head and pulled the trigger in 1940. He "crashed and burned." You must have balance in your life to achieve lasting successat any endeavor. Trading markets is no exception.........

excerpt from Jim Wyckoff

Thursday, June 17

go wih the flow

You must live in the present, launch yourself on every wave, and find your eternity in each moment...Henry David Thoreau

How do we create our best life?How do we find that longed-for balance of fulfillment, orderliness, financial stability, and relationships? How do we produce the outcome we want in any area of life? And when do we achieve it?

There are thousands of so-called experts on this subject. They claim to know more about what is good for us than we do ourselves. They bombard us with a continual flood of information and incentives about how to improve our health, our income, our looks and just about every aspect of our lives.Vulnerable and needy individuals are thirsting for their advice. The "perfect life gurus" are selling something we want. They're selling the hope of an outcome, and we are buying---to the tune of billions of dollars a year!

How is this working out for us?Is it actually working out? Or are we getting stuck in hope and not moving beyond it?For most of us, it seems we are neither achieving the outcome and, perhaps more unsettling-we seem to have lost our way.

Hope and outcome aren't bad in and of themselves.Great achievements started with hope, but they needed action to implement them.Hope without action is just that. Outcome?We can't know what we don't know and no one knows the future. As a trader, one of my daily affirmations is: Detach from the outcome of each trade.

Even after the carnage of 2008, there are traders that refuse to sell short because they are attached to the outcome of being long. It's anti-American, disloyal to short," say those who hold on to stocks far longer than they should. "You're turning your back on a long-time friend! Winners never quit and quitters never win," and so on. They are attached to the outcome, thinking that letting go of their unproductive stock picks would prove disastrous (They It will come back-I just know it!') Many are still in the buy and cry mode, despite suffering enormous losses to their portfolios---sometimes as much as 40-60%

They have stepped out of the present moment into the hands of some unknown future where the power is out of their control. Many who have not opened their brokerage statements for months because "I can't stand to look anymore" are now in the buy and deny mode.

This is similar to people who stay in bad relationships. Even though the hurtful behaviors never change, some days are better than others-enough to create the slim hope that he or she will one day wake up and everything will be just wonderful. Meanwhile, the relationship is like a roller coaster ride with breathtaking dips, pitches, jolts, bumps, and curves. What might have been fun and enjoyable becomes painful, unpredictable, and out of control. A couple with that sort of a yo-yo pattern is attached to the outcome that things will be better-tomorrow. So they don't live in "today," staying instead in the rut of hope---day after day, tomorrow after tomorrow. Eventually they wake up and realize nothing they had hoped for came true for them. What a sad day that is! It doesn't have to be yours.

In all areas of life, including trading, if you can make that transition to get out of the future and back to the present, you can be in control of what you think and what you do, especially with your stock positions. Sever your attachment to outcome, and think, "There is no tomorrow, just today. Just now. This is the perfect moment and I am always in it."

I know from personal experience how liberating this is.That was the basis for my first book: Personal Responsibility: The Power Of You. I strive every day to take personal responsibility for everything I say, do, feel and think.The only way to do this is to constantly come back center-to the moment, the here and now. I don't always succeed, but that is not the point.It's about progress-not perfection-much the same as learning to trade or striving to be the best human being we can be. Being in the present brings freedom and authenticity.It means that we are radically honest with ourselves and others and that we stand ready to accept the consequences-no matter what they are.We are not living in some future fantasy world.We are fully present in the flow of whatever is going on.

In the markets, flow behavior is rewarded because it allows us to be flexible, adaptable and give us what the markets are offering-rather than what we think they ought to offer.It reminds us that every moment in the markets is unique and that anything can happen at any time. By releasing attachment to outcome, we have freedom to be fully in control of how we respond.It releases us from the chaos of reacting, from rat-braining and from the emotional gyrations that almost always lead to losses. It leads us to come back constantly to the nine most important words each of us can ever ask: "Is this the best I can do right now?

The point of power is always in the present moment...Louise L. Hay

Thanks and Good Trading!

Janice Dorn, M.D.,Ph.D.

Monday, June 7

tada emosi... tu cara nya

.. petikan dari Van K. Tharp, Ph.D.


What would happen if you could just pay attention to what the market is doing right now? You’d be totally in the present with no preconceived ideas or biases to influence you. If you did that, your trading would probably accelerate to a new level. Well, you can trade that way if you practice mindfulness.

Mindfulness first came to my attention as a form of meditation in which you simply quiet your mind and then "watch your thoughts" as they come up. When a thought pops into your mind, you simply notice that it is there and then you release it. That’s all there is to the meditation, but it can have a profound impact on your life if you do it regularly.

Mindfulness is also a state of being. Harvard psychologist, Ellen Langer, has popularized the term through two books—Mindfulness and The Power of Mindful Learning. She defines mindfulness as a state of being in which one is likely to be: 1) creating new categories, 2) welcoming new information, 3) looking at things from more than one perspective, 4) controlling the context, and 5) putting the process before the outcome.

Each of these aspects of mindfulness could be an entire peak performance tip. I’d like to cover the first three categories about mindfulness in today’s tip and then continue the topic next week.

1) Creating New Categories

Mindfulness is the opposite of mindlessness. Mindlessness means living by your conditioning. It means assuming that all of your beliefs are fixed and true, so that all you can do is find evidence to support that truth. Mindfulness, in contrast, is the continual creation of new concepts and categories with no real attachment to their truth.

For example, think about your last day of trading—what was it like? You might say, "I put on some long trades and some short ones. I also closed out some trades—some at a profit and some at a loss. In between, I watched the market."

Even if I offered you money for everything you could list that you did yesterday with respect to trading—you still probably couldn’t come up with much more than what I just listed. Yet, you did so much more. You probably experienced a thousand different emotions, which you’ve forgotten. You probably read 100 or 1,000 news items. You probably talked on the phone to some people. You probably did some of the 10 tasks of trading (if you know what they are). But unless I mention those things to you, you probably wouldn’t even think of them.

Most strong opinions rest upon global categorization. The market went up yesterday. We’re in a c-wave of an ABC correction. I lost money yesterday. I followed my system yesterday. We’re in an up move in a secular bear market. I should pay attention to what is going on now in the market. All those statements are global categories that you probably use to form your opinions. But what if you formed new categories of thought about the market? Think about the market in great detail. Who are the different players? What do you think each of them is doing with respect to the market? Call people you know and notice their reactions and their perspectives. Break old thinking patterns by creating new categories and you’ll step up your trading as well.

In many ways, this aspect of mindfulness is a lot like reframing as discussed in my Peak Performance Course for Investors and Traders. It gives you a new perspective and a new attitude about trading

2) Welcoming New Information

New information is continually impinging upon all living creatures, and their ability to survive generally depends upon their openness to that information. Research has shown that people undergo temporary psychological damage if they are deprived of new information for any length of time. Young animals, if deprived on sensory input, become severely impaired later in life. You need sensory information to stimulate you.

Most people are continually exposed to new information, so the lack of it is not a problem. However, most of us tend to filter, generalize, distort, or delete most of that information. Becoming more receptive to the information that is coming in to you is a major step toward improving your performance as a trader.

3) Looking at Things from Multiple Perspectives

There are at least three general "positions" or "perspectives" from which any information can be viewed. The first perspective is the "I" position—how does this information affect me?

The second perspective, position two, is how does it affect another person directly—what is that person’s perspective? That second position might be that of the person who takes the opposite side of your trade or perhaps the person who is making the market for you. Looking at new information from that person’s perspective might be quite valuable to do.

The third perspective is that of the neutral observer who is watching all of the other participants. This is like someone out in space who can see what everyone else is doing and then view everything from a global perspective.

These three perspectives were crucial in Einstein’s thinking processes. It was part of how Einstein’s formed his great ideas about relativity. Those perspectives are also the basis for some of the most powerful change work that I know about. So try them on. Of course, there are many possible players for positions one and two. You can try on numerous possibilities and gain tremendous insights as a result of doing so. You’ll gain choice in how to respond, empathy for other people, and the ability to change your own behavior much easier.

Remember that most people have perfectly "good" reasons for behavior that you might consider to be negative. The intentions behind those behaviors are "good." If you close out a trade early, are you "nervous" or are you "cautious?" If you fail to take a trade, is it because you are "afraid" or because you haven’t totally developed and tested your plan for trading? Typically, the behaviors that you most want to change are the mirror images of the qualities you value most. Thus, if you are having trouble "pulling the trigger," you probably value a thoroughly tested plan and don’t really have one.

Wednesday, May 26

Number That I must remember

Selalunya numbor numbor adalah melambang sesuatu.. kalo orang kaya tarikh lahirnya adalah melambang kan keperibadiannya .. numbor orang jutawan ialah 3... 6....9

Dalam saham pun nombor melambang sesuatu pekara .. hasil ni adalah dalam pemerhatian klci dari 1977 hingga kini dan akhir tahun nombor yang bersamaan dengannya melambang apa yang selalu pasaran buat.. ni ada kaitan juga dengan kitaran 4 year presidential US election.. sekiaranya keduanya on the meeting point maka lebih besarlah ketepatan angka ni menjadi.. kalo tidak ianya adalah kebetulan atau takdir

kalo tahun numbor berakhir dengan angka berikut maka terjemahan ada lah seperti berikut:

0... selalu klci top dimana assset peak
1... correction ( depand pada current trend masa tu)
2... kitaran terendah
3... kitaran untuk pemulihan
4.. berlakunya correction

7& 8... pasaran merudum
9... pasaran pulih

Dengan hanya mengingat nombor ni tuan2 semua boleh jadi jutawan ... tu pun sekiranya tuan tuan tahu siapa diri anda semua dan dalam kumpulan apa yang tuan tuan tergolong...samada pelabur atau trader s/term atau trader mid term.. dan ambil la tindakan yang bersesuain dengan nya

My parting advise.. Market speak WE follow

AKU hanya SEKADAR MARKET TRANSLATOR

ps maaf la bebanyak aku cube nak uoload image ci dari 1977 .. da cube 5x tapi error sori ...

Tuesday, May 25

All blogers ask that question may be few can answer that..

Q: I have been providing technical stock research to institutional money managers for 20 years. I am very good at reading trends and trend dynamics. While this analysis has helped my clients significantly over the years, I have not been able to translate this analysis into consistent profits in my personal trading. Do you have any general advice for someone in my position?


A: Well, fundamentally you can spot when things are out of alignment, but you need to do the following:



Get your psychology in order so you stop making mistakes.
Identify your risk when you enter a trade.
Understand how to control your reward to risk throughout the course of a trade.
Understand market types. What you do currently won’t work when market conditions change.
Understand position sizing strategies and their importance in meeting your objectives.
Write a thorough business plan to guide your trading.
Develop several good trading systems. Right now, what you think is your system is actually just your "analysis."

In other words, you have to master a lot more of what we teach

Monday, May 24

dr janice said that

There are many lessons to keep from going to pieces when it all falls apart:Always tell the truth to yourself and those you love and who love you.

Trust, but validate and verify everything.

Don’t trust anyone but yourself when it comes to your money.

If something seems too good to be true, it probably is.

Don’t assume anyone has your back. Take full and total responsibility for your actions and don’t sit around waiting for someone to bring you flowers or make money for you

Just because something has worked in the past, don’t assume it will keep working. Linear thinking is complacent thinking and leads to a false sense of security and comfort.

Don’t get greedy. Remember, bulls and bears make money—pigs get slaughtered.

Don’t put all your eggs in one basket. Diversify whenever possible.

Everything you thought and dreamed for your future can be gone in the blink of an eye.

Hope is not a viable strategy for trading or investing in anything.

Stay really strong in body, mind and spirit because you never know when the tsunami is going to hit.

Prepare for the worst and expect the best. Have a backup plan. Have three backup plans.

When it all falls apart, you can and will survive if you don’t fall to pieces.

If you once forfeit the confidence of your fellow citizens, you can never regain their respect and esteem. It is true that you may fool all of the people some of the time; you can even fool some of the people all of the time; but you can't fool all of the people all of the time…Abraham Lincoln

Saturday, May 22

larry levin says that

The market was slammed to the mat again today. Although the market was down big early, it fought valiantly to get back up; but when Mr. Market gave up his back, the bears put a choke hold on him to end his day. The market closed on the low.

You may wonder - What is causing this weakness? OK, not you - but your friends and family members are wondering this. Of course the main reason is that the entire rally was a faux rally - a bogus move fueled entirely by government spending and thus does not have legs. There is no long lasting growth when the government manipulates the markets. So...what was in the news today?

Leading economic indicators were worse than expected. (Economists are wondering how this is possible since they drank the government kool-aid so many months ago.)
Weekly jobless claims increased - again. (Economists are wondering why this is STILL HAPPENING. They drank the government kool-aid and believed all the drivel).
Europe is falling apart. (Economists are wondering why this is happening. After all, they announced a $1 trillion Keynesian bailout of their banks and other debt.)
South Korea will formally accuse North Korea of destroying their navy ship that blew apart a few weeks ago. If so, North Korea says its WAR. (Idiot economists wonder why the Koreans don't spend 10 to 100 their incomes and just be happy.)
Global central bank currency manipulation failed miserably today after the $1 trillion announcement failed. (Economists wonder why the governments aren't winning and are getting depressed.)
MASSIVE Federal Reserve currency swaps - using your dollars to bailout Europe - went down in flames today. (Economists wonder why the kool-aid isn't working.)
BUT DON'T WORRY FOLKS; TAX-CHEATIN-TIMMY IS GOING TO EUROPE TO SET 'EM STRAIGHT. HE'S GONNA GIVE 'EM MORE KEYNESIAN RELIGION.
Pfheeeew - we're all saved now. I feel so much better.

May 20 (Bloomberg) -- Treasury Secretary Timothy F. Geithner will visit Germany and the U.K. next week to discuss the European debt crisis, the Treasury Department said today in a statement in Washington.
Geithner “will meet with European officials to discuss the economic situation in the region and the measures being taken to restore global confidence and financial stability and to promote continued recovery,” the Treasury said.
Geithner’s trip to Europe will follow his visit to Beijing for the U.S.-China Strategic and Economic Dialogue, the Treasury said. He will meet with U.K. Chancellor of the
Exchequer George Osborne in London on May 26.
The same day, Geithner will travel to Frankfurt to meet with European Central Bank President Jean-Claude Trichet. The next day, he will meet with German Finance Minister Wolfgang Schaeuble in Berlin, before returning to Washington.
Behold the age of infinite moral hazard! Today is the 413th day of legalized accounting fraud on a grand scale. April 2nd, 2009 was the day CONgress forced FASB to suspend rule 157 in favor of deceitful accounting.
Trade well and follow the trend, not the so-called “experts.”


Trade well and follow the trend, not the so-called "experts."

Tuesday, May 18

Van Tharp's Trading Secrets

Secret 1

The first secretof trading success is having Discipline. A good trader must have the discipline to make sure that they do not make mistakes, and a mistake is not following your rules. And if you don't have enough rules to guide your behavior, then anything you do is a mistake.

Secret 2

The second secretof trading success is the Golden Rule of Trading, which is cutting losses short and letting profits run. This means that success really has nothing to do with "stock picking" or selecting the right investment.

Secret 3

The third secret of trading success is having a Trading System that Fits Who You Are. Your system must fit your objectives, your beliefs about yourself, your beliefs about the market, and your beliefs about each of the part of the trading system, such as set-ups, entry, stop, exits, and position sizing. When you have a system that fits you and the confidence to trade it, then you are likely to do well with it.

Secret 4

The fourth secret of trading success is that you must Use Position Sizing to meet your objectives. Position sizing refers to "how much" size you have on throughout the course of a trade. And position sizing is really designed to meet your objectives. Thus, you must know what your objectives are and you must know how to use position sizing to meet those objectives.

Secret 5

The last secret of trading success is that everything is 100% Psychological.Even these five secrets are 100% psychological.

Monday, April 26

Magic is believing in yourself

excerpt from the trading doctor

Magic is believing in yourself. If you can do that, you can make anything happen...Johann Wolfgang von Goethe


This trap is deceptively simple because most people, when questioned, will tell you that they totally believe in themselves and deserve to be successful as traders.

Yet, when you expose the majority of people to the myriad of real time decisions afforded by the market, this belief system reveals how fragile and fleeting it is, and begins to fall apart. Traders spend more than 90 percent of their time thinking, questioning, doubting, reassessing, struggling to keep focused, being whipsawed by emotions and just plain worrying if they are doing or not doing the right thing. What part of any of these activities reflects authentic belief in oneself?

When I say believe in yourself, I am not talking about superficial muttering for the sake of political or social correctness. I am talking about a deep-seated, absolutely incontrovertible and unshakeable belief in yourself as a consistently successful trader. This is among the most difficult challenges you face because it requires you to construct an adequate and realistic self-image and then use that image to propel you to achieve your trading goals. It is like making a movie of yourself or setting the stage for the most eloquent performance of your life.

More than that, it requires that you go deep within yourself to those messages which were given to your limbic rat brain memory at an early age. Many of you can identify with these messages. They may be hurtful, painful and very deep- seated. How many times when you were growing up did you hear the word “No?" How many times were you told that
you were bad because you did this or that, or you would be punished if you did not say things in a certain way, and all of

the horrible things that might happen to you if you disobeyed or did not listen? How many times were you told that you would never amount to anything and that you were just plain not good enough?

These limbic rat brain memories are intensely powerful and also very sneaky because many of you have spent your lives hiding from them or denying them. Because few want to admit that they harbor massive insecurities, they act out their lives in such a way as to make these messages self-fulfilling and then sit around scratching their heads and wondering why they are not getting anywhere or why they are failing to achieve their goals. In essence, what people are doing in this situation is affirming the negative messages stored in their brains. If your self-image is one of shame, guilt, anxiety
and insecurity you will sabotage your trading IN ORDER TO LOSE. Yes. You will set yourself up, just as more than 50% of
traders do, to actually lose. This then reinforces that you deserve nothing good and deepens the shame and self- contempt. I know it's not easy for many of you to hear this, let alone wrap your brain around it as it applies to you. But, you must be strong enough to do it, because it means the difference between failure and success in your trading and your life.

What do you do about this? It's simple, but not easy. You must reprogram your brain with new messages about yourself. You must literally begin to see yourself as successful, confident and powerful. You do this by making new mental images, by re-etching your limbic system with messages of empowerment. Make a new movie of your life, with bright and colorful pictures of joy and unlimited success and happiness.

Some people do this through constant and unrelenting affirmations which they practice on a regular basis several times a day until the messages get through. It takes approximately 21 days of consistent and dedicated practice to change a habit. It takes 21 days of constant, dedicated repetition for one positive message to get entrained into your nervous system.

What is required to change your belief system about yourself is to truly see yourself as successful. It is like taking a photograph of yourself right now and then stepping back and looking at how you would like it to be if you were living up to your full potential. There are many ways to do this and I will go into much more specifics in a future edition of The Trading Doctor Monthly Newsletter. For beginners, try this simple experiment: Right now, pay attention to how you are sitting in your chair, the look on your face, how your shoulders are positioned, your posture and demeanor, and how you are feeling about yourself. Be radically honest about it. Take a snapshot of it in your mind. Now - stand up and walk away from the chair to the other side of the room. Look at the empty chair and picture yourself sitting in that chair as the person you would like to be. Picture how you would look and feel if you had everything you wanted. Keep taking snapshots of success in your mind. Keep doing it. Now, walk back to your chair, sit down and be that snapshot of success and fulfillment and true esteem of yourself. How does that feel?

This is the beginning of neurological entrainment of positive affirmations. . This is the start of believing in your ability to do anything you want to do. This is the start of your new truth which you will etch onto your brain one day at a time as you master your mindset on the way to full realization of your true and authentic self as a powerful trader and human being. You are more powerful and precious than you will ever know. Everything that you truly are, you are now becoming. It works if you work it, so make it work now. Lights, camera, action...Go for it. You can do it, and you deserve it!

Some people say I have attitude - maybe I do...but I think you have to. You have to believe in yourself when no one else does - that makes you a winner right there...Venus Williams.

Thursday, April 22

hai knape la malas sangat nak exercise

pekara exercise yang perlu aku buat....
kenape la malas sangat aku nak exercise

Tend to your body first. Exercise or do some kind of orchestrated movement every day. I work out at the gym in the evening and do yoga or pilates in the morning. People that work with me know that when I say "yoga" it means that I stop what I am doing, unplug the phone, and get down on the mat to restore myself. Find the style and time of day that is best for you and start now. Even if it's only 15 minutes a day, it is a great start to a lifetime of self-care. Focus on YOU first and the rest will take care of itself.

Practice being in the moment with your eating. Eat slowly and think about every bite. Make slow eating a ritual. Turn off the TV, computer, blackberry, cell phone, or whatever else you are using to multitask, and just sit there and eat. Focus on what you are eating so that you are filling your body with clean, healthy food which fortifies and restores you, rather than depleting your energy stores. You truly are what you eat, so you should know what happens when you live on junk, fried, high fatty and simple carb-laden food. Substitute these with walnuts, almonds, fresh fruits and veggies.

Take time out. Don’t sit at your computer screen hour after hour watching every single tick. Make your quota for the day and then stop. Go outside and be with nature, or take a walk to reconnect and find your center. When you are in your center, you are the most relaxed and receptive. Practice getting there, being there and feeling fully alive.

Try progressive relaxation. Breathe deeply and focus on relaxing each part of your body, starting at your head and ending at your feet. Doing this for 20 minutes a day will lower your cortisol level and reduce food cravings.

I love the use of aromatherapies for relaxation. Pure organic lavender, rose and vanilla are great stress reducers. Simply inhaling these in proper proportions sends relaxation signals from the olfactory tracts and receptors of the nose directly into the primitive, emotional brain, resulting in a quieting and calming effect

Monday, April 19

why i lost knm

innalilla wainnna illa hirajiun.. ya alla ganjarila musibah ni dan gantilah ia dengan yang lebih baik lagi....

why I lost this *%&@!...
first aku tak ikut system aku..
then I cut lost ikut sistem aku..
my emotion tak tahan yang dia nak jatuh lagi...lalu aku jual

what I had learnt
first I MUST follow my sistem and always remember tak semua yang kita buat akan untung its all 50:50

dalam erti kata lain dalam dunia ni rezki ur must work hard.. tuhan da beri kau akal dan tangan...tak kan dia nak suap rezki tu dalam mulut kau.. banyak kerja lain lagi dia nak buat.. siapa aku... aku bukan wali.. subuh pun banyak kali da tinggal.. almost setiap hari.. maaf la Allah aku ni muslim dan aku tak kan buat lagi .. aku takut nak janji tapi aku akan ushe... maaf ya tuhan

Saturday, April 3

exceprt from nirvanasystem newsletter


Breakout Ahead for the S&P 400?
It's important to remember that markets alternate between cycles of range contraction and range expansion; otherwise known as trading range and trending markets. After range expansion, the market will usually trade quietly within a trading range, as it digests the prior move ahead of the next directional trend. Likewise, after a period of trading range activity, markets will usually seek a breakout opportunity that leads to new trending behavior.

We are currently seeing this behavior in the S&P MidCap 400 Index, also known as the $MID. The S&P 400 has trended steadily higher since bottoming out at 682 in February, reaching highs of 800 in the past week. This type of bullish advance usually paves the way for trading range behavior, as the market builds toward its next breakout opportunity. As a matter of fact, the $MID has been developing a clear trading range over the last three weeks, which spans from 780 to 800.

Typically speaking, ranges that form at highs after a bullish advance lead to breakouts in the direction of the current trend. Therefore, I will be watching 800 very closely for signs of a bullish breakout opportunity. A breakout from this range could lead to a move worth 35 to 50 points, which is quite a move for this index. Keep in mind, however, that a breakout in either direction can be highly lucrative, so keep an eye on 780 for signs of a confirmed decline as well.

Interestingly, markets usually see breakouts and trending behavior during the first week of a new quarter. Today, April 1st, marks the first day of the new quarter, which means this range could be gearing up for breakout/trending behavior in the coming week




Is $100 Oil in the Near Future?
After a volatile consolidation phase for the month of March, Crude Oil has begun the new quarter by pushing through the $84 resistance level. Although this is only one daily bar, the move above this level could be significant. In the chart to the right, I have marked the last time Crude passed through the $84 mark. You can see that the behavior leading up to the move was very similar to what we have just experienced – an initial test of the level and pullback, then the strong move to push through it. If history repeats itself, which is a major tenet in technical analysis, we could see a continuation move to the $100 in the next month or so. The big helping hand in the move that occurred in late 2007 was a weak dollar. While the dollar has shown some strength in the first quarter, weakness in the upcoming month could be just the assist that Crude needs to once again hit that major mark.

Gold: Gold has bounced off of its upward trendline and shown strength since doing so. Watch for a retest of the $1150 level.

Silver: It was a strong week for Silver as price has pushed well away from the $17 mark to the upside. The $18.20 level provided support and resistance over the last six months and it provides a good target if Silver continues to post gains.

Copper: Copper shot out of its consolidation and broke the 3.50 mark in this weeks trading. This provides plenty of clear air for more upward movement as the next major level of resistance is the $4.00 mark.
Heating Oil: Heating Oil is now testing the $2.22 resistance level after a solid upward move this week. It is still heavily correlated to Crude Oil, so keep an eye on Crude’s behavior in next weeks trading for an indication as to whether this resistance will hold.
Natural Gas: Although Natural Gas slipped below the $4 mark, it got a boost off of the inventory report on Thursday to poke back above this major level. The downward trend has been long and steady, but if $4 holds as support we could finally see some gains emerge for this very oversold commodity.

Friday, March 26

mindfullness.. yes do it

What would happen if you could just pay attention to what the market is doing right now? You’d be totally in the present with no preconceived ideas or biases to influence you. If you did that, your trading would probably accelerate to a new level. Well, you can trade that way if you practice mindfulness.

Mindfulness first came as a form of meditation in which you simply quiet your mind and then "watch your thoughts" as they come up. When a thought pops into your mind, you simply notice that it is there and then you release it. That’s all there is to the meditation, but it can have a profound impact on your life if you do it regularly.

Mindfulness is also a state of being. Harvard psychologist, Ellen Langer, has popularized the term through two books—Mindfulness and The Power of Mindful Learning. She defines mindfulness as a state of being in which one is likely to be: 1) creating new categories,
2) welcoming new information,
3) looking at things from more than one perspective,
4) controlling the context,
5) putting the process before the outcome.

1) Creating New Categories

Mindfulness is the opposite of mindlessness. Mindlessness means living by your conditioning. It means assuming that all of your beliefs are fixed and true, so that all you can do is find evidence to support that truth. Mindfulness, in contrast, is the continual creation of new concepts and categories with no real attachment to their truth.

For example, think about your last day of trading—what was it like? You might say, "I put on some long trades and some short ones. I also closed out some trades—some at a profit and some at a loss. In between, I watched the market."

Even if I offered you money for everything you could list that you did yesterday with respect to trading—you still probably couldn’t come up with much more than what I just listed. Yet, you did so much more. You probably experienced a thousand different emotions, which you’ve forgotten. You probably read 100 or 1,000 news items. You probably talked on the phone to some people. You probably did some of the 10 tasks of trading (if you know what they are). But unless I mention those things to you, you probably wouldn’t even think of them.

Most strong opinions rest upon global categorization. The market went up yesterday. We’re in a c-wave of an ABC correction. I lost money yesterday. I followed my system yesterday. We’re in an up move in a secular bear market. I should pay attention to what is going on now in the market. All those statements are global categories that you probably use to form your opinions. But what if you formed new categories of thought about the market? Think about the market in great detail. Who are the different players? What do you think each of them is doing with respect to the market? Call people you know and notice their reactions and their perspectives. Break old thinking patterns by creating new categories and you’ll step up your trading as well.

In many ways, this aspect of mindfulness is a lot like reframing as discussed in my Peak Performance Course for Investors and Traders. It gives you a new perspective and a new attitude about trading

2) Welcoming New Information

New information is continually impinging upon all living creatures, and their ability to survive generally depends upon their openness to that information. Research has shown that people undergo temporary psychological damage if they are deprived of new information for any length of time. Young animals, if deprived on sensory input, become severely impaired later in life. You need sensory information to stimulate you.

Most people are continually exposed to new information, so the lack of it is not a problem. However, most of us tend to filter, generalize, distort, or delete most of that information. Becoming more receptive to the information that is coming in to you is a major step toward improving your performance as a trader.

3) Looking at Things from Multiple Perspectives

There are at least three general "positions" or "perspectives" from which any information can be viewed. The first perspective is the "I" position—how does this information affect me?

The second perspective, position two, is how does it affect another person directly—what is that person’s perspective? That second position might be that of the person who takes the opposite side of your trade or perhaps the person who is making the market for you. Looking at new information from that person’s perspective might be quite valuable to do.

The third perspective is that of the neutral observer who is watching all of the other participants. This is like someone out in space who can see what everyone else is doing and then view everything from a global perspective.

These three perspectives were crucial in Einstein’s thinking processes. It was part of how Einstein’s formed his great ideas about relativity. Those perspectives are also the basis for some of the most powerful change work that I know about. So try them on. Of course, there are many possible players for positions one and two. You can try on numerous possibilities and gain tremendous insights as a result of doing so. You’ll gain choice in how to respond, empathy for other people, and the ability to change your own behavior much easier.

Remember that most people have perfectly "good" reasons for behavior that you might consider to be negative. The intentions behind those behaviors are "good." If you close out a trade early, are you "nervous" or are you "cautious?" If you fail to take a trade, is it because you are "afraid" or because you haven’t totally developed and tested your plan for trading? Typically, the behaviors that you most want to change are the mirror images of the qualities you value most. Thus, if you are having trouble "pulling the trigger," you probably value a thoroughly tested plan and don’t really have one.

Thursday, March 25

apa yang dipakai orang lain... murphy

Murphy said he relies heavily on five or six "useful" technical indicators, including relative strength indicators, trendlines, moving averages, Bollinger bands, classic chart patterns such as triangles and double tops, and Fibonacci retracement levels.

"You must trade a combination of technical signals, not just one" indicator, said Murphy. He said that many times he'll set up a "good" column and a "bad" column regarding technical studies. If the "good" column has the overwhelming evidence supporting a selected trade, Murphy will enter the trade. But if the evidence supporting a trade is not strong enough, he'll bypass the trade.

Murphy correctly called the topping of the U.S. semiconductor stock index (SOX) during mid-summer (of the year this story was written). His reasoning was plain and simple: the SOX uptrend line was broken, followed by a double-top formation. "The first sign of a top is breaking of an uptrend line," he said.

On moving averages for individual stocks, Murphy likes to use the 50-, 100-, and 200-day moving averages. If the 200-day moving average on an individual stock is broken on the downside, "big trouble" is in store for that stock. Also for stock sectors, he said if a 50-day moving average breaks down, "that sector is in trouble."

Charting a stock market sector divided by the S&P 500 is a favorite method the veteran technician uses to determine if a given sector is underperforming the broad market. (Examples: SOX index divided by S&P 500 index, or NASDAQ index divided by the S&P 500 index.)

Another good technical indicator is the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD), said Murphy. The MACD uses exponential moving averages, as opposed to the simple moving averages used with an oscillator. Gerald Appel is credited with developing the study.

Longer-term technical signals are more powerful than shorter-term signals, said Murphy. "Longer-term charts give you the value of perspective," he said